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Posted on 10/26/2012 9:42:06 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
Washington Post-ABC News Poll
This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone Oct. 22-25, 2012, among a random national sample of 1,772 adults, including landline and cell phone-only respondents. Results for the sample of 1,382 likely voters have a margin of sampling error of three percentage points. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
However, that could be statistical noise.
Sample is D+4
ping
1 point lead for Romney.
I think the D+4 oversampling isn’t believable.
Gallup says it will be R+1 or if you want to be generous D+1.
Even with the oversampling, Bamster still can’t surpass 47%.
Romney increased Indie lead from 19 to 20.
Romney leads on economy 51-44.
This is noise.
supposed to come out at 5pm...Guess they couldn’t wait to start talking about the Obama surge
I was thinking same thing. The initial release was at 5pm...
However, does not matter.
After seeing today’s Gallup release of electorate survey, I have no worries whatsoever. The Republican turnout will be R+3 or so. All these polls, add 3 to Romney and take 3 away from Obama. I see it 52-47 or 53-46.
Romney leads by double digits among Indies and leads 51-44 on the economy?
No way he is statistically tied with O in the polls. But the MSM has its meme for tonight’s newscasts and the weekend’s stories.
Namely, that Bamster could be the Comeback Kid Of 2012!
That last week will be interesting.
Or rounding. I think Obama is stuck in the 46 to 47 range. My guess is he will pull another 1% at least from his base.
Yeah I noticed that they wait until 5 if Romney goes up...but comes out early if Obama is up. Wow, not biased at all.
Also - Romney up 20 with Indies, and according to Gallup this year will have AT least even R’s and D’s (maybe more R’s) + Romney will win more conservative “blue dog” dems and Obama will get very few Republicans = Romney landslide.
Romney cannot be up 20 points with indies in EVERY poll and lose. End of story. Romney will win.
As I said yesterday, this poll isn’t serious.
Their sample stayed the same from yesterday but in the last four weeks jumped up, down, D+3, D+9, D+5, now D+4.
Anything
But
Credible
Indeed. A 20-pt Indy edge is probably the highest since Reagan-Mondale. Thus if would be statistically impossible for Romney to lose. If turnout is D-38(3.8 for Romney)/R-34(32.3 for R)/I-28 (16.8 for R) it’s a near landslide.
b a m a
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