Very good job! I don’t think MN will flip but it will be close. MI is always a tease but pulls away because of Detroit.
OR is surprise and I think its winnable despite Portland. 54% sounds about right - its what I’ve been predicting.
51% is the low end 54% is the high end and Romney may well take 53%. If O’s numbers begin flat-lining before Election Day, it could even be 55-56% for Romney.
This poll is much more a reflection of what we see on the ground because the party IDs are accurately weighed and each state’s past voting history is taken into account. It looks Bush I’s win in 1988.
I think that’s very realistic in November. The media will never show any of this because they’re in the tank for Obama. Its important to be optimistic not to be prone to defeatism. We won a big victory in 2010 and we’ll win a historic victory in 2012!
Don't forget that the city of Detroit has become largely vacated; it has less than half the population it once had.
And one more thing: the Romney name means something generally positive there, or at least should. His father was elected governor three times. (I confess that when I hear the words "Governor Romney" even now, I think of George Romney.) Is the state suffering from amnesia?