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To: SoftwareEngineer

A president at 47% (there it is again) with 12 days to go is in serious trouble. And a challenger at 50% (in both Gallup and Rasmussen) for almost a week now is looking really good.

Romney now leads Indies 52/39 (13 points). Romney is +7 on gender gap (+11 w men, only -4 w woman). Obama is -21 in Strong Index Approval w Indies (20/41). And the Right Track/Wrong Track for “Other” (Asian/Hispanic) is back up to -21 (33-54). It had been oddly trending to almost even at 43/44.

These are real bad numbers for an incumbent, 12 days out.
Looking at it historically, never has a challenger been at 50% this late in the game (with such solid internals, not soft support) and gone on to lose. Overall, Romney is looking even better today than yesterday despite Obama moving up a point. Off to work, chat later (Gallup at 1pm, ABC/WaPo at 5pm).


2 posted on 10/25/2012 6:37:59 AM PDT by nhwingut (Single Issue Voter: Obama Must Go!)
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To: nhwingut

Looks like the trend is cementing going into the final week.


4 posted on 10/25/2012 6:39:36 AM PDT by LibFreeUSA
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To: nhwingut
Also a tidbit for later today.

New data will be released later today for Virginia along with updates from Pennsylvania and North Carolina.

If those states move out of play NC and VA for Romney and PA for Obama it basically locks the race into Ohio. If Pennsylvania comes into play Romney will have to make some hard decision if he wants to put the resources into OH where Obama has poisoned the water, or go after fresher ground in PA.
22 posted on 10/25/2012 6:54:10 AM PDT by GonzoGOP (There are millions of paranoid people in the world and they are all out to get me.)
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To: nhwingut

“A president at 47% (there it is again) with 12 days to go is in serious trouble. And a challenger at 50% (in both Gallup and Rasmussen) for almost a week now is looking really good.”

With so many polls showing Zero stuck at 47%, have you noticed the ObamaStreamMedia has STFU about Mitt’s 47% moocher comment?


60 posted on 10/25/2012 7:40:49 PM PDT by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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