Thanks Ravi. I enjoy these threads.
Most Republicans I know prefer to vote in-person, election day. I’d be one of them if I didn’t live in a hellhole mail-only state.
If enthusiasm is great, then making sure the Republican-Democrat improvement is big enough to overcome the final Republican-Democrat vote totals in 2008 matters a lot less.
I think we are at 1.6 mil absentee/early vote requests. I predict final turnout about 5.5 mil. Not all of these requests have turned in their ballots or early voted - about 800,000 have turned in ballots or voted early. That is a turnout roughly of 14.5% as of tonite. Some of these polls show early vote at 20% as of a few days ago - obviously an error there.