Posted on 10/24/2012 6:23:47 PM PDT by cdchik123
One of the states Democrats view as part of an electoral college firewall is still leaning slightly to the president, per Public Policy Polling:
PPP's newest Nevada poll finds Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney 51/47, numbers exactly identical to what they were when we last polled the state two weeks ago.
Obama is already well on his way to winning Nevada based on early votes that have been cast in the week. Among those who say they've already voted he has a 61/39 advantage. Romney is up 51/46 with those planning to vote between now and election day. ...
Obama's leading based on advantages of 69/28 with Hispanics, 82/12 with African Americans, 54/44 with women, and 58/39 with young voters. Romney's ahead with men (50/48), whites (57/42), and seniors (53/45). He also has a 53/44 advantage with independents but he'd probably need to take them by a wider margin than that to overcome the Democratic registration edge in the state.
Republicans have freely acknowledged that this is one of the tougher remaining swing states for Romney. If Obama continues to hold Nevada and Ohio, then Mitt Romney needs to crack Wisconsin in order to get to 270 electoral votes.
It is by congressional district, not percentage threshold.
not a huge sample.....
PPP surveyed 636 likely voters from October 22nd to 24th. The margin of error for the
survey is +/-3.9%
dang. That makes it tough to get one.
Nevada’s problem = SEIU
“Did Obama trash Las Vegas at one point? And NV is one of the worst states in terms of unemployment. Have we reached a critical mass of stupidity in this country?”
Barack Elizondo Mountain Dew ObamaCamacho was elected President in 2008. Isn’t that all the proof you are ever going to need?
no Nevad reached a critical mass of “i want free candy”
PPP is a certified Dem party front group and push poll outfit !
They are beyond discredited !!
They got caught doing Dem
Party advocacy push polling in WI !
Their polls are garbage and pure fraud !
No the Ras poll,
Has a difference of 2 pts not 4 pts but Romney was winning
Indies by huge margins which means iRas had a + 6 Dem .
Do notvtrustbthis polls by PPP or with huge Dem margins !
The Mormon population in NV is huge and very quiet but they vote .
Reid carried NV because he was Mormon !
The media hides that fact .
What was 2010 ?
Yep! Pretty much!
vaudine
I agree with you and I live here in Nevada. Problem is all in Clark County, AKA Las Vegas.. out here in Pahrump its SOLID Romney, along with other rural areas.. but Reno and Vegas ruin it for the state which stinks. Our town had record turn out for early voting so far AND the good part is it was mostly Republican voters and we have also gained about 1000 new Republicans out here.
Hopefully the sheeple in Vegas will wake up and remember the words “You cant go to Las Vegas”
That’s because we nominated a moron, Angle, to take on Reid.
In 2008, early voting stats in NV had a D vs R ratio of 51.5% of 31.3%. This year, it’s been 47.3% to 35.9%. A 20.2% difference has shrunk to 11.4%. Obama won in 2008 by 12.5%. While NV is not out of Romney’s reach, it appears to be tilting Obama for 2012. Romney is counting on independent voters to provide his margin of victory.
2012 NV early voting stats:
http://nvsos.gov/Modules/ShowDocument.aspx?documentid=2491
2008 NV early voting stats:
http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2008/10/31/early-voting-suggests-nevada-victory-at-hand-for-obama/
The non-morons knocked each other out.
2008 NV Exit polls
38 - D
30 - R
32 - I
2004 NV Exit Polls
35 - D
39 - R
26 - I
I think Steve Wynn came out against Obama this year didn’t he? That should carry some weight.
Wynn donated to McCain in 2008 and generally gives to R’s. He’s not donated a dime to Obama.
http://www.newsmeat.com/billionaire_political_donations/Steve_Wynn.php
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