Posted on 10/24/2012 6:23:47 PM PDT by cdchik123
One of the states Democrats view as part of an electoral college firewall is still leaning slightly to the president, per Public Policy Polling:
PPP's newest Nevada poll finds Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney 51/47, numbers exactly identical to what they were when we last polled the state two weeks ago.
Obama is already well on his way to winning Nevada based on early votes that have been cast in the week. Among those who say they've already voted he has a 61/39 advantage. Romney is up 51/46 with those planning to vote between now and election day. ...
Obama's leading based on advantages of 69/28 with Hispanics, 82/12 with African Americans, 54/44 with women, and 58/39 with young voters. Romney's ahead with men (50/48), whites (57/42), and seniors (53/45). He also has a 53/44 advantage with independents but he'd probably need to take them by a wider margin than that to overcome the Democratic registration edge in the state.
Republicans have freely acknowledged that this is one of the tougher remaining swing states for Romney. If Obama continues to hold Nevada and Ohio, then Mitt Romney needs to crack Wisconsin in order to get to 270 electoral votes.
Those four guys that Barry has over Romney are the same four guys who showed up at the Jiffy Lube in Reno to see Sandy Fluke last week.
Wow! 12% of blacks and 28% of hispanics for Romney? That’s amazing and will only grow.
I hate to say if but if the people of Nevada vote for Obama they deserve what befalls them. It was, after all, Obama who admonished American businesses and vacationers not to go to Vegas...not to spend their money there!!!
Their unemployment is much higher than the national average and his policies have done NOTHING to inspire confidence amongst the populace that would encourage them to spend disposable income for travel and entertainment which is about all Nevada has to offer !!
I hope they come to their senses...but they keep sending Harry Reid back to Washington so I’m not counting on it!
Doesn’t shock me. Even though it’s a left-leaning pollster, all of the polls show Obama up in Nevada by a few points.
I have Romney at 261 (or 262 if you include ME-01). If Romney can take OH or WI, it’s over.
SIGH.... PPP again (double sigh).
So, what’s the D/R/I breakdown of the Nevada Poll this time... is it going to be D+9 again?
Did Obama trash Las Vegas at one point? And NV is one of the worst states in terms of unemployment.
Have we reached a critical mass of stupidity in this country?
Exactly. The parasites are getting close to overcoming the host.
D +6
42 D, 36 R, 23 I
They re-elected Ried in 2010. I think RR ought to concede NV. They can, and will, win without it.
Even though this is PPP, it is consistent with the Rasmussen poll.
It looks like Iowa and NH are moving Romney’s way. With Nevada that would have cancelled out making Ohio essential...although I seriously doubt that if the more Democrat leaning states of Iowa and NH have moved to Romney that Ohio would not also end up in his column as that is a more Republican state.
Can you advise all on what percentage threshold of votes cast must be achieved to gain a split in Maine?
(I ask here because others may also wonder)
I have a very good smart conservative friend that lives in NV with very good “connections”. Obama by 3-4%.
Amazing that the low information voters cut off their noses to spite their faces and don't even know it. Sad.
Don’t know the numbers, saw a poll where the CD in ME was trending Romney.
“I have Romney at 261 (or 262 if you include ME-01). If Romney can take OH or WI, it’s over.”
What about hitting the needle with NH and Wisconsin?
Maybe Iowa is the better combo with NH.
Okay, let’s run the table!
Gotta get it and Mittmomentum is working.
261 assumes NH holds. WI would then put Romney over the top without OH.
2004
D 35
R 39
I 26
2008
D 38
R 30
I 32
“Is the B.O. lead simply a reflection of the HUGE union presence there?”
Yes.
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