no need to be sorry.
if GOP wins OH and NH, it is over. So NV and PA cannot be the deciders. Deciders are OH and NH. (OH and any one other)
Fact that Obambi still has a shot in those 2 states, keeps Bambi hopes alive.
I respectfully disagree, just barely. Romney doesn't need N.H. He also needs more than just OH and one.
Based on 2008 results, Romney needs, in order of easiest pick-ups by percentage: NC, In, Fl, Oh, Va, Co. That gives him 275. This is exactly what the in-trade map shows and these are the easiest states (and the minimum needed) to pick-up based on percentage swing from 2008. Of course Romney must hold on to Mo., which McCain won by 0.13%. Should Romney lose that, the easiest states for him to pick up to make up the difference, are Iowa and N. H. Under that scenario you are more accurate.