Yesterday's Rasmussen poll (R:50 O:46) is our baseline.
For now, the trend looks good. On Friday, we will have a full post Debate Three sample. It will also be a full weekday sample, as some people believe, weekday samples better capture Republican voters
Good news. But I’m ready for Romney +5.
How do you go from -16 to -12 on strongly disapprove in one day?
Up 12 with Indies. 12 days to go. Obama at 39% w Indies. Obama is in a bad bad place for an incumbent. He’s basically running a national election in one state – Ohio. Hence his numbers better in Ohio than anywhere else.
Also, note the Right Tack Wrong Track. My favorite stat to look at. The “Other” (Asian, Hispanic) vote was getting almost to a break even point (44/45). But today it is back to 35/54. The stock market?
Gotta go do some work. Chat later re: Gallup.
LLS
Internals have Gov Romney leading President Obama by 12 with Independents
Very nice. Mittmentum holds and builds.
If the poll was reversed the press would declare an air of inevitability, but as it were, there is two weeks left for Obama to turn it around.
It is still -16
This is good. If he can hold that till mid to late next week, we can all take a good long breath of air.
We need Ohio insurance with more states. Obama has thrown everything into Ohio including phony votes
Gee, Obamugabe must have had a good polling day to jump from -16 to -12 that quickly.
Here is the link with the commentary:
A nugget of “not so good” news in it. Gov Romney only had a 2 point advantage yesterday instead of the usual 4 points. So his numbers tomorrow will go down.
These updates are based upon nightly telephone interviews and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. As a result, approximately two-thirds of the interviews for today’s update were completed before the end of Monday night’s presidential debate. The single night of interviews conducted after the debate is similar to the two-point advantage Romney has enjoyed recently rather than the current four-point spread. As always, caution should be used when interpreting a single night of data in a tracking poll. Friday morning will be the first update based entirely upon interviews conducted after the final debate.
Sure does. Add a point or two over 50% and it'll be time for Candy Crowley to start limbering up her vocal chords....
Stayed the same with one post-debate day factored in. That bodes well, because the first day after the debate is the day most affected by pro-Obama forces.
Tomorrow will include the new Bengazi revelations and the reinterpretation of the debate with Obama’s fact-checked lies and the explanation of Romney’s kinder, gentler strategy.
