Posted on 10/24/2012 6:35:24 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
Here is the link with the commentary:
A nugget of “not so good” news in it. Gov Romney only had a 2 point advantage yesterday instead of the usual 4 points. So his numbers tomorrow will go down.
These updates are based upon nightly telephone interviews and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. As a result, approximately two-thirds of the interviews for today’s update were completed before the end of Monday night’s presidential debate. The single night of interviews conducted after the debate is similar to the two-point advantage Romney has enjoyed recently rather than the current four-point spread. As always, caution should be used when interpreting a single night of data in a tracking poll. Friday morning will be the first update based entirely upon interviews conducted after the final debate.
Sure does. Add a point or two over 50% and it'll be time for Candy Crowley to start limbering up her vocal chords....
Regarding the jump from -16% to-12%, don’t forget that hard core lefties often voice “strongly dissapprove” because Obama is too moderate in their opinion. The snarky debate posture could have moved them.
A question for you: Aside from Obamugabe’s improvement in the “strongly approve - strongly disapprove” gap, did the 46% number move?
Benghazigate
Reason? No context.
CBS news has done yeoman's work breaking this story, but there is no context - no chronology pointing out the administration's conflicting narrative vs emails.
Hence, a non-story.
So Romney will be at 48% tomorrow? UGH
Rasmussen and his “horserace” polls.
If I had to take a guess at tomorrow’s Rasmussen numbers, based on the commentary by Scott today, I would think they would be:
R:49 O:47
“Regarding the jump from -16% to-12%, don’t forget that hard core lefties often voice “strongly dissapprove” because Obama is too moderate in their opinion. The snarky debate posture could have moved them.”
Really good point. This metric is subject to whimsical mood swings of the electorate, and therefore is reactionary day-to-day. Again, a rolling average on this issue would be more helpful. In the end, I hang my hat on the fundamentals: R 50, O 46.
Obama KNEW, immediately that the attack was a pre-planned assault led by terrorist groups, he even claims he SAID it was a terrorist attack... yet, for two weeks, he allowed all of his spokespeople to tell the world that it was a spontaneious response to a video. Why?
Maybe.... a better sentence is:
"As the attack was happening, the US had drones in the air above the embassy but did not use them to protect our people because they could not get approval from the Libyan government"
That might be easy enough to gain some traction.
I agree... until I see some polls saying Romney is LEADING in Ohio, I will remain nervous...
Sneak peek at today’s Swing State numbers. Tatown will post the thread when Rasmussen releases the public numbers:
R:50 O:46
R is ahead 9 with independents. He was ahead by 14 yesterday
For the Swing states, the Approval Index is at -16%
I’ll be less worried with a 10 point spread.
Looks like Obama is getting a bump from the debate. Most state polls continue to show small Obama leads with Romney trends. Not good enough
I am sorry Laz.. but she is definitely GUILTY!!
:-)
Yes, he is over 50% so the Happy Happy Joy Joy dance is in full effect
Stayed the same with one post-debate day factored in. That bodes well, because the first day after the debate is the day most affected by pro-Obama forces.
Tomorrow will include the new Bengazi revelations and the reinterpretation of the debate with Obama’s fact-checked lies and the explanation of Romney’s kinder, gentler strategy.
“-16 to -12”
My theory is the libs pleasured themselves after hearing what they perceive as 0bama beating up on Romney in the last debate.
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