We really blew it by not dividing our Electoral Votes by Congressional District as was proposed.
That being said...I do think Barry is in deep trouble here.
He has really rubbed the Bitter Clingers the wrong way with his War on Coal and racial divide-and-conquer game. Plus in the Johnstown region you had a cadre of very reliable Democrats who always pulled the handle cause they owed their jobs to John Murtha. He is dead, his district is no more, and they are now Free Agents in every sense of the word.
Anything can and generally will happen in Philly, but Mitt has a realistic shot here.
I know former Chair voters here in southeastern Montco who are now voting Romney. The Obama signs are invisible. Romney signs all over the place. New ones popping up every day.