I'd like to hope what I'm seeing in the Senate is an anomoly in Rasmussen's polling, since the drop was universal and sudden after the conventions. But somehow, I doubt it. I think the RNC and the Senate reelection committee dropped the ball. Have you seen or heard from McConnell or DeMint at all since the conventions?
-PJ
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Rasmussen polling behind others - maybe you’re already taking this into consideration:
I had the same question a week ago - that it looked like Rasmussen was hedging.
Someone pointed out that Rasmussen is not using his own party-affiliation numbers, but using a hard D+3 model - at least nationally. Don’t know what model he’s using at state levels.
Seems like Suffolk, pulling out of FL, NC and VA almost a week before others entertained conceding those states, may be the accurate model this time around.
But I bet someone here has more detail than what I just wrote ...