one day difference in the polls and an 8% shift. I so want it to be correct but i don’t see how.
The poll headlines and the sample distributions are changing, but the underlying detailed results by category are not changing so much.
Pollsters have to incrementally move their headlines and sampling distributions toward reality as election day approaches, or else their perceived credibility will suffer in the eyes of the public and their future paying customers.
Those who have been watching and collecting the underlying details from the various polls, and comparing those to the detailed information from previous elections, already have had a good idea that this is going to be a historic landslide tsunami @$$-whupping.