I start with the assumption that Romney will win FL, NC and VA. That means he needs to win OH plus any of NH, MI, WI, IA, CO or NV. Alteratively he could lose OH, and win any three of MI, WI, IA and CO, or any four of all of them. And if he wins PA, he only needs any one of the others.
Personally I think there’s a good chance Romney will sweep them all including PA.
PA is winnable, but its the toughest of the 4 to win... And for Romney to WIN PA he has to be on the air here, he just has to.. and so far he’s just not. I haven’t seen any ads for either party on TV in months... well take that back I did see an Obama ad last night while watching TBS.. so I don’t know if that was a national buy or a PA targeted ad.. but that was first Political ad for either party I’ve seen here in quite a while.
Romney isn’t at present fighting for PA... the groundwork is in place to where it could be won with a hard fight, but with no airtime, it isn’t going to happen.. However even without air time I don’t think Obama will carry PA by more than a few points at best. Romney could pull out a shocker and win PA even without airtime, but if that happens, Obama is going to lose a hell of a lot of states no one is even talking about.