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To: Arthurio

I believe it is a setup. Gallup for the first time gives Romney a sizable lead in the last pre-debate poll? Riiiight.

The same Gallup who selected the “independent” voters who asked questions last night, like the Code Pink lady. And notice so far two of the questioners have already came out and said they have now “decided” to vote for Obama.

Big setup folks and totally predictable. The next few days and the week will be a steady decline of Romney’s lead in the Gallup poll and the breathless narrative will be Obama is surging.

I think all the polls are off some, but look to Rasmussen for at least a decent read. He has the race within a couple points now and we will see what the true post debate swing is from him. My guess is it will be minimal.


39 posted on 10/17/2012 10:22:51 AM PDT by over3Owithabrain
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To: over3Owithabrain

Maybe. Gallup will definitely tighten over the weekend as polls are best for Dems over the weekend. I don’t think there is enough time for pollsters who want to remain credible to play games like you’re talking about this late. Time for those games were last month. The election is a few weeks away and the polls will try to start being as fair and accurate as possible.


52 posted on 10/17/2012 10:29:04 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: over3Owithabrain

I understand trying not to let yourself get too excited but 3 or 4 polls yesterday had Romney at 50%, even the DKos poll.


62 posted on 10/17/2012 10:37:13 AM PDT by chad_in_georgia
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To: over3Owithabrain

Well, if it’s a setup, in order to begin inflating zero’s numbers for a fictitious comeback, then Gallup can kiss their credibility good-bye. These final couple of weeks of the campaign are when pollsters need to start putting out the real numbers, or they’ll be a laughingstock.

No way Obama won over any undecideds last night. Undecideds needed to hear from Obama why another four years under him would be any different than the last four. Obama did not even attempt to make that case last night. Thus, undecideds will break this year they way the traditionally do — heavily in favor of the challenger.


102 posted on 10/17/2012 12:32:32 PM PDT by kevao (Is your ocean any lower than it was four years ago?)
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To: over3Owithabrain

I had the exact same reaction. Ras has R with a 2 point lead, which is probably about right. I was actually a bit worried by his swing state tracking, which today had Filth up by 2.

Hank


129 posted on 10/17/2012 8:19:06 PM PDT by County Agent Hank Kimball (Myth Romney is a vile Fabian Socialist - his opponent is infinitely worse. How did it come to this?)
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