[HannibalHamlinJr]

Stark comparison to what LS's numbers show.

How do we account for the difference between LS' numbers and these?

It seems a far stretch to say "well, the Dems are just casting their reduced number of absentee ballots more quickly than Republicans."

So something is funny in the numbers - no?

... I understand that the first response is going to be "PPP is totally biased, in the tank for Obama."

Maybe that is the answer - but is it sincerely the answer? What explains the contrast without sheer (even educated) speculation?

[HannibalHamlinJr]

... PS ... in my post above I’m referring to the part of the poll that talks about early votes cast ... not the entire poll.

[Signalman]

Rasmussen has 48-47 for O.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/ohio/election_2012_ohio_president

[LS]

Here is how you test: last two polls by Ras and (I forget other group) had Mandell tied and/or up one. This one has him down eight.

So, that tells me the real number is Romney by about 3.

To answer your question about contrast---and remember, Gravitas had Romney up one in OH 48 hours ago---you need to look at their QUESTIONS. In the previous OH PPP poll, they asked: (now, remember this is OHIO):

"What is your opinion of Elizabeth Warren?" (!!)

"Who is more responsible for killing Osama bin Laden, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?"

"What is your opinion or Julian Castro?"

"What is your opinion of Martin O'Malley?"

In case you don't recognize these people, they were speakers at the DEMOCRAT convention and only DEMOCRATS would even know who they are. I bet 20% of all Ohioans don't know who Elizabeth Warren is. Yet the PPP Poll did not ask about Mandell that time.

I think these people are as reliable as the old Zobgy internet polls.

[Jaguarmike]

Well, the early votes aren’t officially counted until election night. So it seems to me, this 3-1 garbage is just an exit poll, which always seems to favor Democrats.