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Given the pollster's background, I strongly doubt things are as rosy for Obama in Ohio as PPP has it. But I think we are kidding ourselves if we go to the other extreme and expect a Romney landslide. The fate of the election is still up in the air and it rests on the persuasion of a relatively small group of the less-informed and less-motivated.
1 posted on 10/13/2012 6:27:46 PM PDT by Colonel Kangaroo
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To: Colonel Kangaroo

Great, for the 220,374th time FR declares the election over.
Can we begin to at least try and use common sense when these silly polls come out?

THINK! What is PPP national vote? Is it tied, is Romney ahead? If so then it is impossible for Obama to be ahead five points in a state like Ohio. Is Obama under 50% nationally? If so he can’t possibly over 50% in a state like Ohio.

My poll, at least as accurate as PPP says Romney carries Ohio 52 to 47.


46 posted on 10/13/2012 7:31:27 PM PDT by Patrick1 (“Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity.”)
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To: Colonel Kangaroo

>>The fate of the election is still up in the air and it rests on the persuasion of a relatively small group of the less-informed and less-motivated.

On that note, there was some interesting commentary regarding that and the recent Lilo (Lindsey Lohan) endorsement of Romney. Let me see if I can find it.

Here:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2944249/posts

Key lines:

Lindsay Lohan came out in support of Mitt Romney yesterday.

While most would, at first glance, write this off as gossip, it’s the latest instance of an evolving trend that jeopardizes President Obama’s chance at winning the White House.

Lohan, by all accounts, is a typical low-information voter. And low information voters, like it or not, will decide this election.


51 posted on 10/13/2012 7:43:52 PM PDT by FreedomPoster (Islam delenda est.)
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To: Colonel Kangaroo

I have one word for Ohio and hope the pubs get it = COAL


53 posted on 10/13/2012 7:50:54 PM PDT by matginzac
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To: Colonel Kangaroo

Definitely not what I was hoping to see, but some of this poll’s results defy logic.

Do the Rats really have a 3 - 1 edge in early voting? I know another recent poll showed they had 63% of the early vote, and that strained credibility. If they really do have 76% currently, then go ahead and concede the election now.

Has there truly been zero movement in the race since the first Presidential debate in Ohio? Everywhere else in the country, there was significant movement towards Romney. Was Ohio exempt?

Why did Pres. Obama’s own pollsters say earlier this week that they were leading Ohio by “a couple of points”? Campaign pollsters tend to overstate their support just a bit when reporting it to the public. Why are PPP’s numbers twic as optimistic as the President’s own numbers?

Why did PPP’s own pollsters a couple of days ago say everything in Ohio they were seeing indicated the race was extremely tight? 5 points at this stage of the game is not extremely tight. It is an Obama blow out.

My sense is that this is a BS poll, but until other pollsters start showing Romney ahead here, Ohio is my biggest concern heading into election day bar none.


56 posted on 10/13/2012 8:13:09 PM PDT by comebacknewt (Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)
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To: Colonel Kangaroo
a few weeks ago it looked like mitt couldn't win without ohio. Now he has plenty of ways to get to 270 w/o ohio. Nonetheless, i think he takes ohio in the end and ends up around 330. zero will be lucky to hit 200 and meanwhile is forced to blow his wad in states that were all but wrapped up a few weeks ago.
58 posted on 10/13/2012 8:23:14 PM PDT by paul51 (11 September 2001 - Never forget)
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To: Colonel Kangaroo

With kind of crowds Romney is getting OH lately, I’m surprised 0bama has sizable lead. This is a devastating poll for Romney. I think OH is unwinable for him. After seeing Luntzs focus group of independent Ohioans after the VP debate, I understand why Romeny is so far behind here. Those people were blithering idiots!

Romney better come up with a plan to win without OH. If he can win every McCain state from 2008 plus VA, NC, FL, IN, CO, NH, NV and IA he will have 273 EV’s. Looks like IN, VA, NC, FLand CO are falling into place. Perhaps Romney should pull out of OH and work on nailing down NV, NH and IA.


63 posted on 10/13/2012 8:34:31 PM PDT by red in brea
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To: Colonel Kangaroo

The poll results are very similar to the actual voting in Ohio in 2008. So, this year, we have a stronger Republican candidate and a weaker Democrat candidate, and yet they predict the same outcome.

Right.


79 posted on 10/14/2012 12:22:54 AM PDT by Fresh Wind (If Obama is an empty chair, then Biden is the whoopee cushion.)
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To: Colonel Kangaroo

Go Josh, Go!!!


83 posted on 10/14/2012 8:19:10 AM PDT by CPT Clay (Follow me on Twitter @Clay N TX)
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