You are right, it’s not second grade math. It’s probably closer to first grade. Yes, I’m being serious.
Without a doubt I’ve wasted enough time on this subject matter. You obvious cannot understand the basic premise of modeling or statistics. Rasmussen, just like every single pollster that is currently publishing polls for the 2012 GE is oversampling democrats. FACT!
BTW, I’m an engineer so math comes pretty darned easy for me.
~ciao
"By Election Day [2004], our baseline was still 35-39-26 but our Likely Voters sample had just over 36% R and just under 38% D. If we [had] adjusted to 37-37-26, we [would have] nailed the actual election."
Rasmussen is SAYING that he adjusts his baseline with his LV sample. What more do you really need than Rasmussen's own words?