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Rasmussen Daily Tracking: MON 10/08: R:48% O:48% Obama -11%
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 10/08/2012 | Rasmussen Reports

Posted on 10/08/2012 6:38:40 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer

Monday, October 08, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Mitt Romney and President Obama each attracting support from 48% of voters nationwide. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided.

While there have been modest swings in recent months that have favored one candidate over the other, the overall picture is of a race that is both stable and very close. Over the past 100 days of tracking, Romney and Obama have been within two points of each other 72 times. Additionally, on 89 of those 100 days, the candidates have been within three points of each other. That is exceedingly close in a poll with a three percentage-point margin of error. See daily tracking history.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; election; obama; rasmussen; romney
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Ugh! Weekend effect, I suppose
1 posted on 10/08/2012 6:38:53 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Well....crap :(


2 posted on 10/08/2012 6:39:51 AM PDT by Michigander222
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To: SoftwareEngineer

This with a D +3.5 model.


3 posted on 10/08/2012 6:40:24 AM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Absolutely correct. The weekend bump now moves Obama up to being tied with Romney. He’s losing traction. I wish it were better news, but this is not bad. He’s in trouble. I will like it better when he remains behind even with the weekend bump.


4 posted on 10/08/2012 6:41:47 AM PDT by Shadowfax
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Ras is still using his heavy dem bias on this poll.

All other polls today are confirming a 16% lead with independents for Romney, that means game over for Obama. McCain lost indies by 8 points at 52-44...They are showing Obama to Romney 52-35, even worse than what McCain polled.

I’d wait until Thursday before we can definitively say whether there is any big movement.


5 posted on 10/08/2012 6:43:11 AM PDT by sunmars
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Looks like Romney got a huge bump on Thursday. And then Obama got a bump from jobs report. But not much.

So after debate and jobs report, edge I would say is with Romney. He was down 2 (pre debate/pre jobs report), and now even - and this is also a 3day weekend poll, Fri-Sat-Sun, which tends to favor Obama.
Let’s see where we are upon Friday morning’s poll release.

That should shake out the noise and provide a clearer picture of where race really stands. I think Romney will be up by 2-3 points.


6 posted on 10/08/2012 6:43:31 AM PDT by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Who gives a flying sh&& what Ras says! Unreal how anyone could fall for this tripe. 2010 was a sweep of huge proportions for conservatives. 2 years later the turd has done even more damage to our republic and people are falling for this BS!?


7 posted on 10/08/2012 6:44:23 AM PDT by albie ("Work as if you were to live a hundred years. Pray as if you were to die tomorrow." Benjamin Frankli)
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To: Perdogg

I thought it was determined to be D+5 now.


8 posted on 10/08/2012 6:44:43 AM PDT by tatown ( FUMD, FUAC, and FUGB)
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To: Michigander222

Not too bad considering the weekend.
The debate fundamentally shifted the race a solid two clicks in the right direction IMO.


9 posted on 10/08/2012 6:45:02 AM PDT by Clump ( the tree of liberty is withering like a stricken fig tree)
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To: SoftwareEngineer
Typical weekend bump, plus the phony unemployment figure and Obama can only get back to even. Romney going to hit him hard on foreign policy today and Ryan/Biden debate this week. With early voting now is the time to try and put this away.
10 posted on 10/08/2012 6:45:25 AM PDT by Conservative Actuary
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To: sunmars

Exactly 4 years ago today, Rasmussen had McCain down 7 to Obama at 52-45...I’d say Romney is holding his own just fine.


11 posted on 10/08/2012 6:45:31 AM PDT by sunmars
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To: sunmars

In 2008 thats all anyone talked about (indys). Now crickets, I wonder why


12 posted on 10/08/2012 6:47:38 AM PDT by italianquaker (The 47 pct need to pay their fair share)
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To: tatown

someone claimed that he reversed engineered Ras to get +3.5 D.


13 posted on 10/08/2012 6:48:23 AM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: Perdogg

Ras himself i think said he had to up the dem bias as he could’nt get enough GOP’ers to participate, refused to participate.


14 posted on 10/08/2012 6:49:59 AM PDT by sunmars
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To: All


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15 posted on 10/08/2012 6:55:06 AM PDT by musicman (Until I see the REAL Long Form Vault BC, he's just "PRES__ENT" Obama = Without "ID")
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To: Clump

I want more than 2 clicks LOL Romney should be burying that man...just don’t understand this country :(


16 posted on 10/08/2012 6:55:39 AM PDT by Michigander222
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To: italianquaker; LS; tatown

Ryan will be in Swanton, OH today then later to Rochester, MI.

Michigan!


17 posted on 10/08/2012 6:55:56 AM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: Perdogg

From what I have heard from reading polling bloggers (Jay Cost, Sean Trende, etc), Rasmussen is using a D+3 or so sample (could be 3.5). I never heard of him using a D+5 this year.

And don’t forget, Rasmussen still has Republicans up +2.6 in party id - ending in September.

In 2010 for example, the September party id was D+2.1. And we know what happened 30 days later.

This will be a landslide of even bigger proportions, IMO.


18 posted on 10/08/2012 6:56:02 AM PDT by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

The polls are pollster self interest biased. Usually politically correct, showing Obama having an edge and also promoting a close race for business money reasons. It is not that it isn’t close but there are so much self interests and agendas involved that the purpose of the polls to show reality/truth is completely thwarted.


19 posted on 10/08/2012 6:58:40 AM PDT by Duke of Milan
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To: sunmars

But McCain did lose. So how does that compare to this?


20 posted on 10/08/2012 7:00:41 AM PDT by Kay
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