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Poll: Apparent Slide for Obama Following Debate (R-48 O-46)
National Journal ^

Posted on 10/06/2012 8:17:22 AM PDT by Perdogg

A new poll shows a slight change in the presidential race immediately following Wednesday night's debate in Denver, with a 4-point lead for President Obama the day before the debate becoming a 1-point deficit the day after his uninspiring peformance.

On Tuesday, the Washington, D.C.-based Clarus Research Group surveyed 590 likely voters and found Obama leading Mitt Romney, 49 percent to 45 percent. On Thursday, Clarus found, in an identical number of interviews, that Romney had inched ahead by 1 point, 47 percent to 46 percent.

(Excerpt) Read more at nationaljournal.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; Miscellaneous; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls
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To: ken5050

“90%, if not more of the electorate is firmly locked in”

Those that say they are locked in assume that nothing will happen to change their minds. Something just happened that was unexpected by many, and certainly by those “locked in” to Obama.

Past counts of locked-in voters are no longer accurate.


21 posted on 10/06/2012 10:06:13 AM PDT by cymbeline
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To: chessplayer

The next Romney/Obama debate is town hall format. I don’t know that is the best spot for Obama to go on the attack.


22 posted on 10/06/2012 10:15:58 AM PDT by goodolemr
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To: To-Whose-Benefit?

Hasn’t the media already proclaimed Biden the winner of the debate with Ryan, as they did with his faceoff with Palin? So many just know what the media tells them, and I suspect Obama will regain his favor in the second debate with determined media spin.


23 posted on 10/06/2012 10:22:39 AM PDT by Theodore R. ( Who among us has not erred? Akin's the One!)
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To: SamAdams76

First, it DOES make a difference where you are driving. The entire country or even parts of states no doubt have differing amounts of traffic when compared to the past. It might also make a difference WHEN you typically drive. Some people are still driving but making fewer trips, combining errands etc but might still be found on the roads when YOU typically drive.

People are making fewer long distance/cross country type trips unless they are truckers and working. I also hear that some trucking companies have gone and are going to natural gas powered vehicles.

Second, a lot of people are driving vehicles that are much more fuel efficient than in the past.

I don’t know the specifics, but I hear on the news that America’s gasoline consumption continues to decline, per capita, year upon year upon year, which would generally fit the conclusion from the Energy Dept. data.


24 posted on 10/06/2012 10:37:41 AM PDT by txrangerette ("HOLD TO THE TRUTH...SPEAK WITHOUT FEAR." - Glenn Beck)
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To: Hotlanta Mike; All

Do NOT underestimate Biden people.

Yeah, he has a idiotic reputation, but don’t forget his performance wasn’t bad against Palin.

I think luckily Ryan is young and should come across well, but do not underestimate Biden.


25 posted on 10/06/2012 12:25:57 PM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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To: ilgipper

I think ALL the tapes, revelations, the Relemundo stuff were orchestrated somehow by Mitt’s team. I think you HAVE seen the hammer falling.


26 posted on 10/06/2012 12:28:37 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: Perdogg

Democrat loses 5 points in one day “slight change in the polll”

Republican down 2 points in the poll. “Race is over”


27 posted on 10/06/2012 12:28:48 PM PDT by Personal Responsibility (The Left blaming Jim Lehrer for the debate is like blaming Lincon's assassination on the play.)
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To: xzins

I could be wrong, but didn’t Bite-Me do pretty well vs Palin, when everyone thought he would be stomped?


28 posted on 10/06/2012 12:30:54 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: LS

Yes, he did very well. He’s smooth and his misrepresentations go by so quickly that he doesn’t get called on them.


29 posted on 10/06/2012 12:37:24 PM PDT by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! True supporters of our troops pray for their victory!)
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To: MNJohnnie

Post of the day......


30 posted on 10/06/2012 12:47:54 PM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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To: Perdogg

Its a friggin poll, of which I will NOT believe in any shape form or size.

They are in full tilt panic mode, creating loes after lies, their whole mantra is to lie their way to victory, to them playing golf is tossing hundreds of balls onto the green and when one rolls by chance into the hole they will claim it a hole in one.

No truth whatsoever, from polls to job numbers, from foreign intel to Obamacare, its all lies, smoke and diversions because doing it the right way would be too easy and the unions won’t make their take of the proceeds.

Obama got his ass whupped, now he is a rich spoiled brat scheming on getting even by any means, usually it will involve something dangerous will occur in the plan of making Romney look even smaller.


31 posted on 10/06/2012 12:55:50 PM PDT by Eye of Unk (OPSEC)
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To: rwfromkansas

Sarah was defenseless against Biden’s lies due to the fact that she wasn’t from inside the Beltway...Ryan has been there 14 years and can refute whatever bs Biden attempts to peddle.


32 posted on 10/06/2012 3:14:00 PM PDT by Hotlanta Mike (Resurrect the House Committee on Un-American Activities (HUAC)...before there is no America!)
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To: chessplayer

Good, the only thing Obama has going for him is his “likeability”. He comes out “All guns blazing” and it is going to do only one thing, knock those numbers down.


33 posted on 10/06/2012 3:16:40 PM PDT by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
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Well at the rebalance site Obama has slipped A full .5% and stands at 44.47%. Romney has almost a 4% lead with 7% still undecided. This survey includes polls from before the debate.
They are still using a +.13% D party affiliation number.

Obama is toast.


34 posted on 10/06/2012 4:07:02 PM PDT by Leto
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To: chessplayer
On purely historical grounds I would agree.

This time, however, is different. There's another variable in this calculus that places unprecedented weight on the debates. That variable is the fact last Wednesday was the first time Obama has been seriously challenged by a serious and prepared opponent. He's being vetted for the first time ever.

35 posted on 10/06/2012 5:07:05 PM PDT by Lexinom
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To: Hotlanta Mike

Yes! And at that point Biden had no record to defend (as a VP/ Obama surrogate). He now has four years of failure to defend; WHOLE NEW BALLGAME!!


36 posted on 10/06/2012 5:17:26 PM PDT by Private_Sector_Does_It_Better (I AM ANDREW BREITBART)
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To: Zhang Fei





37 posted on 10/06/2012 5:23:59 PM PDT by Yosemitest (It's simple. Fight ... or Die !)
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To: Yosemitest

Excellent charts. Thanks.


38 posted on 10/06/2012 6:17:14 PM PDT by Zhang Fei (Let us pray that peace be now restored to the world and that God will preserve it always.)
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To: Zhang Fei

Glad you see their value.


39 posted on 10/06/2012 6:25:41 PM PDT by Yosemitest (It's simple. Fight ... or Die !)
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To: Yosemitest

That food stamp chart is scary.

The other day I was in the checkout line behind a slightly chubby, healthy twentysomething woman who may or may not have been in college. She swiped a card of some sort as payment. The cashier said she had to sign for it. The girl signed, and left the receipt behind, discarded.

I don’t think she would have discarded the receipt if it has been from a debit card or a credit card.


40 posted on 10/06/2012 6:27:50 PM PDT by thecodont
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