We can only hope that Obama’s poor debate performance shakes things up, but so far there is no real polling evidence that indicates last night’s debate has changed the trajectory of this election. Most polls show Obama at right about 50% approval, and now this one shows him at 54%.
The next 48-72 hours will tell the story. If the polls don’t move in Romney’s favor after Mitt kicked Hussein’s butt in the debate, then nothing is likely to change the course of this election.
That is good because Romney is ahead by double digits with indies and the GOP is very excited to vote
Yeah, I am not concerned unless polls don’t show at least a small shift to R by Saturday/Sunday.
Then a little...
We have to keep in mind the number of undecideds is small, so don’t expect a huge shift here. But, enough to win could certainly happen as trendlines continue.
Yeah, I’m more inclined to believe the polls that think 7 to 11 more percentage points of Democrats will make up this year’s electorate are full of dung.
There is no evidence that The Disaster is winning this election. Having to rely on totally rigged polls to eck out a small lead for The Disaster is VERY strong evidence that he is losing big time.
This debate and the upcoming ones will only confirm this. It is only going to get worse from here on.
While Romney did not knock him out he landed many blows and got hit by none. Easy win on points.
NOT ONE of these polls showing mild approval (strong approval - strong disapproval is negative double digits in even the most favorable poll) come from a balanced D/R/I population. Why haven’t we seen leads from polls with a 33/33/34 mix or 50/50 men women?
And the fact that only 9% even talk to pollsters shows that even a properly scientific poll would seriously undercount conservatives.
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Obviously, we can't measure the post-debate trajectory of the election because no new polls have been released yet. The most recent polling data available right now, including today's absolutely ludicrous Gallup survey, was all taken prior to the debate. I suspect we'll start to see a flood of fresh new polling data starting tomorrow and I feel confident, even with the routinely gross oversampling of Democrats, that they will start reflecting an even tighter race.