Posted on 10/01/2012 4:43:43 PM PDT by Justaham
In CNN’s last poll, taken soon after the Democratic convention, O led by six among likely voters. That lead’s now cut in half, to within the margin of error, despite weeks of media doomsaying about Romney’s campaign. In fact, the last four national polls all have the race within two or three points with a bounce opportunity for Romney looming 48 hours from now. I think the first debate will essentially be an audition for him: Obama’s the ultimate known quantity but, for millions of low-information voters, this’ll be the first time they see Romney in action. If he’s as composed and articulate as he was in the GOP primary debates, he’s bound to see some positive movement among undecideds regardless of what Obama does.
Even more encouraging here: As our Greenroomer Karl pointed out on Twitter, Obama’s lead among registered voters (50/46) is almost identical to his lead among likely voters (50/47), which means there isn’t much difference in the partisan split between the two samples. That’s unusual; typically a sample of likelies is a few points more Republican than a sample of registereds. So, if anything, CNN might be underestimating just how well Romney’s doing right now. Also, note that not only does Romney lead by eight among CNN’s (tiny) sample of independents, but his support from Republicans is even more solid than Obama’s support from the Democrats:
(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...
They need to run that darn ad where Romney talks directly to the camera a lot. It’s golden.
How did a thread which shows Obama losing ground, get hijacked into a ‘Romney is doomed, he’s pulling out of WI’?
Thank you. “Insider information”, my azz. More like “disinformation”.
I meant to post #23 to you also.
So if Romney is pulling out of Wisc, they why does Obama feel compelled to go there the day after the debate, this doesn’t compute.
This guy (securityman) is a RAT troll search on his posts. What a bunch of BS.
Why would barry be going there right after the debate. Sounds like he was fed some BS
Yeah.. apparently Romney’s internal polls are saying it’s hitting the point of diminished returns out there. They’ve really turned against Repubs of late. Tommy Thompson is even trailing the reprehensible lesbian Tammy Baldwin.
securityman is a drive by troll you are being played.
Take anything securityman says with a large grain of salt; he's been a Debbie Downer concern troll since the Wisconsin recall elections (in which he confidently predicted a Walker defeat). He'll show up with his little raincloud whenever things start to look up for our side.
They live among us lol
Thanks for tip.
Just did some Google checking...nothing about Romney pulling from WI. That may happen shortly though, unless polling numbers improve.
My thoughts exactly. All of the polls (and Intrade) are moving toward the good guys. If Mitt has even an okay performance on Wednesday night the tide should really start to turn. He just needs to be ‘okay’ for the fence sitters to jump aboard.
Interesting, I was listening to Medved today and he had Michael Barone on. Say what you want about Barone, the guy is extremely knowledgeable when it comes to elections, polling, etc. He predicts that Romney will soon overtake Obama in the skewed polls and will win by a margin slightly less than Obama won by in 2008.
It ‘may happen’ says who? You?? The skewed polls are already turning doomer.
Good grief....
Intrade was up to about 80 on 9/29 now back to under 77.
74 now. The tide is starting to turn.
I don’t understand it. How can a state go for a guy like Walker - even reconfirming him and backing him after the left threw everything at him - and still go for Obama.
That doesn’t make sense to me.
Diogenes is that you? Aren’t you sweet.
I know, right? Maybe he’s not going to focus as much because he figures he has it locked up.
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