[nhwingut]

In 2004 the turnout was E with what Ras had as a D+1.5 party id.

How is it that Ras thinks it will be D+2-4 in 2012 - after what happened in 2010 and what his partisan split shows now (R+4)? Makes no sense unless he’s playing along with crowd to look fair and hedge his bets.

I have never seem the Rs with more amp and angst. They will walk barefoot through a snow storm. Much more excited than 2004. Just look at any poll thread here at FR. People are freaking out. That is a sign of enthusiasm. Look at the base and blogs, the polling samples have never been an issue like this year.

[smoothsailing]

2008: D+7
2004: Even
2000: D+4

I’m hoping the final for 2012 is D+2 or less. That should be enough to win with a comfortable cushion and stave off challenges and dirty tricks.

I’m with you on the enthusiasm level, it’s seems huge for ABO. What I’m not sure of is the enthusiasm for Romney, I’m just hoping folks see him as the only choice.

[ncalburt]

Ras has been openly attacked and mocked by left winger Nate Silver ( former Daily KOZ nutter)and evil Axelrod . Silver and Axelrod are leftist who are working behind closed doors to enforce the Obama poll models that use 2008 or else your will get the Ras treatment .
Never has the left has such total control over the media and these push polling.
In some cases like CBS, David Kaplan ( former Head of CNN and was the reason it was the Clinton New Network) worked to cok these polls Natey and David A.
Ras been beaten down not and is given in to using + Dem model to appease these creeps.
Natey was the idiot who behind the scenes had told CNN and all the Obama media including the clown Allahpundit spouting off the Scott recall would be a too close to call and he won by 6 pts !