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To: kristinn

And so the NYT/Quinnipiac/CBS polls justify their D+9% skew because....?


3 posted on 09/29/2012 11:17:27 AM PDT by montag813
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To: montag813

It makes all the bedwetters out there happy


11 posted on 09/29/2012 11:29:36 AM PDT by italianquaker (The 47 pct need to pay their fair share)
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To: montag813

And so the NYT/Quinnipiac/CBS polls justify their D+9% skew because....?
++++++++++
Incredibaly, there is an answer to your question. Read the Hugh Hewitt thread where he interviews a couple of pollsters. Great thread that addresses your issue.

As to your question, the answer in a nutshell is that they don’t model D/R/I based on a more or less fixed Turnout Model. They do that on the fly - its based on how many Dems, Republicans or Independents ANSWER THE PHONE. So if they get a D+19 poll that’s just the way it is. They simply ignore the fact that their poll is nonsense - they just go with it.

The problem I see with this is it brings into question the possible if not likely bias that is built into their system.


46 posted on 09/29/2012 4:14:00 PM PDT by InterceptPoint
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