And so the NYT/Quinnipiac/CBS polls justify their D+9% skew because....?
It makes all the bedwetters out there happy
And so the NYT/Quinnipiac/CBS polls justify their D+9% skew because....?
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Incredibaly, there is an answer to your question. Read the Hugh Hewitt thread where he interviews a couple of pollsters. Great thread that addresses your issue.
As to your question, the answer in a nutshell is that they don’t model D/R/I based on a more or less fixed Turnout Model. They do that on the fly - its based on how many Dems, Republicans or Independents ANSWER THE PHONE. So if they get a D+19 poll that’s just the way it is. They simply ignore the fact that their poll is nonsense - they just go with it.
The problem I see with this is it brings into question the possible if not likely bias that is built into their system.