[Conservative12345]

Please calm down folks... There is zero reason to panic here what so over... This poll is still well within the margin of error so Obama lead is insignificant... In fact Rasmussen for the last two months have been showing Romney leading withing the margin of error, then few days after that Romney and Obama tie, then few days after Obama leading within the margin of error... Then this same cycle repeats again, and again, and again...

PS: Based on detailed information published yesterday on FR on the Rasmussen internals where Obama was 48% Romney 47% and Romney leads 4% among independents, I did the calculations and it shows that Rasmussen is using democrats + 5 over Republicans in his sample... To be more exact it is 37% democrats, 32% Republicans, and 31% Independents...

[plushaye]

WOW. D+5?

Look at this today from USA Today/Gallup:

USA Today/ Gallup Poll: GOP Opens Up 16% Enthusiasm Lead over Dems. The poll of 1,446 adults, taken Monday through Thursday, has a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points.
GOP regains enthusiasm edge. 64% of Reps are more enthusiastic than usual v. 48% of Dems.

In an Adult poll, Oct 14-16 2004: “Only 51% of Republicans say they are more enthusiastic about voting than in previous years, compared to 71% of Democrats, marking a shift from October 2004, when enthusiasm was about the same for both partisan groups.”

So, pre-election 2004, Dem and Rep enthusiasm were equal, and Republicans won
In 2008, Dem=71%, Rep=51% enthusiastic, and Democrats won
In 2012, Dems=48%, Reps = 64% enthusiastic, and who will win??

Using D+5 turnout is ludicrous.