It must be very close in both VA & OH. That is where they both are spending the most time.
To spend time in these states makes sense. If either candidate wins both of them, they will very likely win. If they split, that would favor Obama. Romney would probably have to win both Iowa and Wisconsin in that case. Ohio should be quite a bit easier to win than Wisconsin, as Obama won Ohio by less than 5% and Wisconsin by over 10% in 2008.
The upper Midwest has been trending GOP for awhile, so it wouldn’t be surprising to see Virginia become a blue state, and IA/WI/MN become Red, although it may take a couple of election cycles to get there.