[PubliusMM]

Sadly, but predictably, Ohio will be wholly represented by the large metro areas, notably Cleveland. While there may be some hope for Columbus, and a smidgen for Cincinnati, the Cleveland, Dayton, and Toledo metro areas will likely carry the state, overall.

I can say, though, that the areas away from those metro areas are solidly conservative, and will vote that way.

My hope is that the lazy-a$$ dems will believe the polls, and a great many of them will stay home for the Oprah marathon rather than vote...

[LS]

Take a look at the absentee ballot numbers coming in across Ohio---I'm not going to post them all again, bu the Rs are ovet performing, sometimes by huge margins, their 2008 percentages and the Dems ar underperforming 2008. Heck, in some cases the GOP is surpassing 2010 levels. Just one example: Warren Co. Went for McCain 2:1 . . . But the r/D absentees are coming in at a rate of five to one .

Now, anything can change and we've only looked at the main counties so far but they all are showing big gOP advantages and/or in Dem counties much smaller margins than what Obama needs to win.