Undecideds overwhelmingly for Romney/Ryan, but I believe our biggest advantage is a dismal turnout for the dems. Obama had somewhere near double the amount of college age votes in ‘08. He surely isn’t getting anywhere near that this go around. Aside from Rasmussen, I believe the other sloppy, “in the tank for Obama” pollsters are using ‘08 figures for their skewed results. At best, that’s laughable.
Know ANYONE that voted for McCain that is going to give Obama a try for this election? I sure don’t. Conversely, know anyone that voted for Obama in ‘08 that will be voting for Romney this year? I’ve met more than a few.
I think we’re going to be surprised at the results on election night. Pleasantly surprised.....
Spot on, plus don't forget about the Catholic/Evangelical vote. Obama won the Catholic vote in '08 (don't ask me how) but I don't see that happening again. His war on Catholics will, ahem, come home to roost. Also in '08 Obama picked up 5% of the Evangelical vote, but I also look for that number to drop.
There are other voting blocs Obama won soundly in '08 (Blacks, Jews) and he will again, but I believe in smaller numbers. That doesn't mean those not voting for him this time around will vote for Romney, they just won't vote. In essence, that's a vote for us.