Posted on 09/19/2012 8:57:43 PM PDT by Qbert
The Pew Research Center gives Obama his biggest lead of the week, finding that he "holds a bigger September lead than the last three candidates who went on to win in November":
With the exception of jobs and the deficit, on which voter opinion is about evenly divided, Obama leads Romney on most key issues, notably healthcare, Medicare, and abortion.And the survey, conducted amid an outbreak of violence in the Middle East and shortly after the killing of the U.S. ambassador to Libya, shows that Obama has a wide edge when it comes to foreign affairs and national security. Far more voters see Obama as a strong leader and as the candidate voters believe would use good judgment in a crisis. Voters also express more confidence in Obama than Romney to deal with foreign policy generally, as well as problems in the Middle East. …
Obama’s overall advantage – he leads 51% to 42% among registered voters – does not narrow significantly when looking only at those most likely to vote. Among 2,192 likely voters, Obama leads Romney, 51% to 43%.
So, in the last 24 hours we've seen a 5-point Obama lead from NBC/WSJ, a 1-point Obama lead from AP-GfK and this 8-point lead from Pew. While the top lines numbers vary from poll to poll, the consistent pattern is some edge for Obama on the overall ballot, plus a lead on most individual issues and a dead heat (or something like it) on the economy. If you consider the fundamental conditions of the 2012 cycle, the fact that Romney hasn't been able to establish a lead over Obama on economic issues is probably the most surprising stat of them all.
"This reads like a satire. Obama is ahead on every issue except being tied on a couple. Maybe but from long experience I know Pew is unreliable."
The most laughable was the foreign policy question- the Mideast is burning because of Obama's failures, Americans are getting killed, the administration can't keep its stories straight... and yet Americans supposedly overwhelmingly back Obozo in foreign policy matters...
I wouldn’t worry about Florida. In terms of voter registration, we’re signing up way more people.
There’s a reason its called PEW.
Why waste your time on a Pew poll, they are a mere extension of the Obama campaign.
I expect he will win.
/johnny
I think this year the best poll will be donation amounts and origins to each candidate.
If you skew a poll due to incorrect data analysis it means you are not competent. If you skew a poll and are competent, it means you are a God Da-- liar.
The people at Pew Research have a lot of money and can hire competent people.
YAWN..another bogus oversampling Dems poll. This stuff is becoming so laughable I dont even bother with this nonsense anymore. I only trust Rasmussen, if they dont release a poll I dont bother even reading it
Making Republicans mad enough to crawl to the polls is not what they intended.
"...I will spare you the details and editorial."
I agree that this is much closer than it should be. Romney should just shut out all the noise and talk about things voters want to hear about: Jobs, highlighting Obama's impending massive tax hikes, economic growth, ending Obamacare (let Paul Ryan handle that one), hammering Obama on his gutting of Medicare, etc. Make the case to the American people, and forget the Obama media.
The economy has been bad for so long at some point that may have decreasing returns for challengers. I think that is why he is not walking away with it.
Not his fault....think he’s done a good job so far and hasn’t really even started running ads.
It’s close, which for Obama, it should not be. With last-minute voters often going anti-incumbent, it could easily go Mitt’s way.
Problem is, you could do that and still never get any coverage because the media would choose to cover the other stuff instead.
They only cover you if they have a reason. The only reason the Drudge redistribution audio was even mentioned in the media was because Mitt brought it up so they had a narrative that he “shot back” against the critics who published the fundraiser video.
As we get closer, particularly with the debates, the media will be FORCED to let Mitt speak freely about his plans and to criticize Obama on the economy etc.
I don't want to be overly pessimistic here because its not over till election day, and the economy sucks.
But Romney was able to take out his ABBMR opponents one by one because they were busy fighting each other and so Karl Rove Crossroads and similar groups could nuke each one in the clear at that time with TV ads, ads that Republicans were receptive to. Romney just had to play act conservative.
In this case it is NOW one against one and the TVs will be saturated with ads so they will not have the same effect as then because people will tune them out being so many as noise.
See how Obama gives no interviews but Romney and Ryan do? See how Romney accepted all MSM moderators at the debates? There is a reason why R+R put up with this.
Without FL Romney loses, period.
Pew is right - but they spelled it wrong.
It is pretty amazing, isn’t it? The GOP has a virtual mountain of ammo to go after Obama... the kind of political arsenal that dreams are made of, courtesy of three-and-a-half years of outlandish ineptitude, massive corruption, and deathly economic statistics. The GOP-E’s hapless inability to effectively utilize any of this is a pretty damning testament to the value of their existence as an opposition party.
+9%? Seriously? The REAL numbers must be scaring the crap out of the Left.
You know, at this stage, just point at them and laugh.
And laugh, and laugh, and laugh.
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