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To: SeekAndFind
Its allahpundit who is a Dem operative there .
A big fan of Nate Silver , the former Daily KOZ pollster.

Read the comments and you see that NBC pollster was playing tricks with the weight and its a +7 Dem and way off independent ratio .

More fun and games from the National Barack Channel .
Sad to see WSJ has fallen to the left too.

16 posted on 09/18/2012 6:58:23 PM PDT by ncalburt (NO MORE WIMPS need to apply to fight the Soros Funded Puppet !H)
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To: ncalburt

RE: Read the comments and you see that NBC pollster was playing tricks with the weight and its a +7 Dem and way off independent ratio .

You must be referring to this comment ( might as well post it here for everyone else to see ):

_____________________________

Okay, this is a crap poll, and I’m going to explain why.

In this case, the magic number is 42%

Look at the party breakdown at the poll, look at it holistically. The fact that it’s D+5 is pointless, because democrats make up 42% of the sample. This is a much larger portion of the electorate than in 2008, and its made at the expense of independents.

This is latest trick pollsters have been using to fluff Obama’s numbers, without making the overall poll look infeasible. In short, Romney could have a 20% lead among independents, and Obama still might lead narrowly. When only 16% of a poll is made up of independents, winning independents amount to very very little.

Case in point.

According to this poll, 43% of respondents approve of Obama’s handling of the Economy. However, 42% of the respondents are democrats, and you can assume that at least 90% will say they approve of Obama’s handling no matter what. If you look at the numbers with that in mind, it’s quite clear that Obama’s getting MURDERED on his handling of the economy. It means that almost no independents or republicans approved of Obama’s economic stewardship, cause if they had his numbers would’ve been a lot higher than that.

This is why you cannot pay very close attention to polls right now. There is no way, whatsoever, that only 16% of voters are going to independents, nor is there anyway that democrats are going to make up 42% of the vote.

Yes, at a glance it may only look like it’s D+5, but in reality that number is entirely misleading.


17 posted on 09/18/2012 7:07:51 PM PDT by SeekAndFind (bOTRT)
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To: ncalburt
Read the comments and you see that NBC pollster was playing tricks with the weight and its a +7 Dem and way off independent ratio.

Yes, isn't the independent ratio grossly miscalculated? Using a realistic independent percentage would probably benefit Romney greatly.

If this is the best the Marxists can muster, in a blatant, transparent effort to prop up this failed President, then Romney should crush 0bama in November, barring some devastating downturn.

It seems to me that, almost invariably, whenever these polls are adjusted to reflect eminently realistic weightings of both Republicans and Independents, the numbers are devastating for 0bama.

Am I missing something, or shouldn't conservatives be shouting this obvious fact from the mountaintops, whenever they appear on lamestream media TV?

Why isn't anyone discussing these ridiculously unrealistic weightings? It seems that the inescapable conclusion, upon any semblance of thoughtful analysis, is that 0bama is being desperately propped up by a fully compliant and overtly biased media.

This bias has gone beyond anything we have ever seen, and may end up being the big story of this election.

Perhaps, as we have seen before, these snakes will adjust things to be more realistic as the election draws nearer, in order to maintain a veneer of credibility.

Those CYA adjustments will not be good news for 0bama.

Presuming that the lamestream media's massive propaganda campaign for 0bama is effectively exposed and repudiated, I think he's toast, without some kind of satanic miracle happening...

23 posted on 09/18/2012 7:48:08 PM PDT by sargon
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