You said: “I don’t see Obama having any chance in FL, OH, IA, NC, WI.” I’d be interested in what you think about VA and CO. I think if early “calls” on election night have Romney winning OH and VA, it’s over for all the folks on Plantation Obamaville.
I really don’t have enough knowledge about CO to say much more than my original assertion... Obama only got 53.66% of the vote in 2008, so I think he’s got ZERO chance of winning in 2012.
Any state Obama won by less than 5% Obama will not hold, is my general rule of thumb this election. Obama won’t cary Denver and Boulder by over 70% of the vote this time.
Obama came into office on an empty suit and on the backs of Bush Fatique.. he got a lot of votes he never would have gotten otherwise.. Now he’s got to run on his record, and has to own his “PRESENT” votes over the last 4 years where leadership is needed.
So I don’t think Obama has a prayer of holding CO.
In VA, Obama will not win Loundon and Prince William Counties, nor will he carry Henrico county, and will be down in Chesterfield as well. He only got 52.63% of the vote in 08 so going by my general rule of thumb, Obama will lose VA... Republicans have faired very well in every election since 2008.
08 was a blip folks, a perfect storm of Bush fatique, and anti-clinton wing of hte D party, those two things Obama rode to the victory with no record and no accomplishment. 4 years later none of that exists, just his own record of failings.
As a general rule, any state he won by less than 55% of the vote, I feel he has ZERO chance of holding.