[crosslink]

This is the latest in Michigan and he is stuck at 47.5, This poll has 10% undecided and over samples woman and dems.
TOTAL DEMOCRATS ....................................................34%
TOTAL INDEPENDENTS ..............................................34%
TOTAL REPUBLICANS..................................................30%
Vote Romney/Ryan...................................................... 39.8%
Lean Romney/Ryan ....................................................... 2.5%
Vote Obama/Biden....................................................... 43.8%
Lean Obama/Biden ........................................................ 3.7%
Don’t know/Undecided ...................................................8%
Refused ............................................................................. 2.2%
TOTAL ROMNEY/RYAN...........................................42.3%
TOTAL OBAMA/BIDEN ............................................ 47.5%

[HamiltonJay]

I firmly believe MI and PA are battleground, though it appears for now anyway Romney has conceded PA.

I really don’t think Obama can carry a rust state other than MN and IL if republicans bring on the full court press, however, Romney doesn’t need PA or MI to win, so perhaps its just stategy to concede things for now.

I am using PA as a bellweather, if R’s start buying big buys in PA, its an indication they know they have the race won.

[Cherokeesquaw]

Romney needs to reconsider not spending any money in Michigan. I’d be interested, if you live in Michigan, to know if any ads at all are running for Romney/Ryan.

[cookcounty]

"TOTAL DEMOCRATS ....................34%
"TOTAL INDEPENDENTS .................34%
"TOTAL REPUBLICANS...................30%

Actually there ARE more Dems than Pubbies in Michigan (though certainly not in Western Michigan), so could be accurate.