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To: cynwoody

that’s not the “internals”, that’s the poll results

the internals would show things like the number of GOP, Dims and Independents in the poll

if you can take those numbers, the internals, convert them to % of those in the poll, and compare them to the corresponding % of GOP, Dim or Indpendents among all registered voters, or among more general surveys of all those likely to vote

then you can see if the survey sample is skewed too much, one way or another, by party, contrary to either registered voters or likely voters in general

if, registered voters in missouri were 100, and 55 were dims and 40 were GOP and 5 were independents, and if the survey had the spread 60 GOP, 30 Dims and 10 independents, then the survey results could be said to be skewed to heavily to GOP voters

I am not saying that’s the case in this survey.

I am saying that without the internals, you can’t know.

What you linked us to is not the internals. Maybe the survey outfit did not give them out.


88 posted on 08/30/2012 8:03:25 AM PDT by Wuli
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To: Wuli
that’s not the “internals”, that’s the poll results

Actually, here are the detailed poll results from the pollster's site. It has the 829-voter sample breaking down 32.7% Democrat, 34.1% Republican, and 33.2% Independent.

Public Policy Polling published another poll of 500 likely Missouri voters on the evening of August 20th. It showed Akin up by a point, at 44% to 43% for McCaskill. 49% of the respondents said they voted for McCain in 2008 vs 44% for Obama and 7% other/don't remember. 30% claimed to be Democrat vs 39% Republican and 32% independent.

Most recently, PPP did a poll of 621 likely Missouri voters on August 28th and 29th. It had McCaskill up a point at 44% to 43% for Akin. The 2008 vote numbers were the same as their August 20th poll: 49% McCain, 44% Obama, and 7% irrelevant. However, the reported party affiliation was a little more even: 33% Donk, 35% GOP, and 32% indy.

If the PPP numbers are accurate, it would seem the Wenzel sampling is more than fair as to party affiliation. Could McCaskill still be toast, despite the best efforts of the GOP-E?

90 posted on 08/30/2012 10:38:18 AM PDT by cynwoody
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