This economic model predicts Obamugabe will lose in a near landslide. Dots are given to compare with other Presidential elections.
Source: http://www.aei-ideas.org/2012/08/economic-forecasting-model-predicts-obama-will-lose-in-near-landslide/
This model missed in 1996 and 2000.
I’ve seen that data before but I think it misses the way the country has changed in the last 30 years.
Baraq is drawing his support from the entitled/dependent.
So the jobs component isn’t nearly as important as it used to be.
As long as he can generate an unlimited supply of Baraqqi/Bernanke/Geithner minibucks and spend $1.40 for every $1.00 of revenue, he’s good to go.
(I realize eventually we’ll auger in, but not in time for the 2012 election.)