How does inflation fit into those calculations? I'm told that social security is inflation-adjusted, but the government's inflation figures are usually artificially low.
So wouldn't inflation make it even longer to catch up?
You are correct that the government appears to be systematically under reporting inflation which makes any money you get early even more valuable.
I had not paid too much attention to the changing retirement age — obviously that makes it take correspondingly longer to catch up to the early cashout.