[Political Junkie Too]

The expectation is that this is a baseline assessment, and that the polls will begin to move after the Olympics and people start paying attention.

However, when you look at the states that Obama has locked in, Romney has to pretty much "run the table" to win.

Ohio moving towards Obama was a big blow. There is still time for Romney to take it back. Moving Florida from Toss-Up to Romney will help, too. Same with Virginia.

But it is scary when you compare the Electoral College view with the national poll view.

-PJ

[Repeal 16-17]

The expectation is that this is a baseline assessment, and that the polls will begin to move after the Olympics and people start paying attention.

Precisely. Most people are not paying attention. We're three-and-a-half months from Election Day. For most people that might as well be three-and-a-half years.

[1010RD]

The other scary thing is that Americans like a split government. So if we hold the House and win the Senate the chances of Obama being President again will rise.

[arrogantsob]

Doesn’t this essentially ignore the 2010 elections which were a decisive rejection of The Disaster? Not that we shouldn’t assume the worst, given the utter stupidity of the American people.