Posted on 07/02/2012 3:02:51 PM PDT by SoFloFreeper
It's Fourth of July week, a kind of All-Star break for the presidential campaign. The economy is still sagging, unemployment remains above 8% and the Fed just lowered its forecast for economic growth this year.
Pretty bleak stuff for President Barack Obama. Yet he still enjoys a modest lead in most presidential-campaign polls.
Multiple factors account for that, obviously, but the president reaches this stage with three distinct advantages that are serving him well:
The swing-state edge. If a candidate is going to do well anywhere, obviously the place to beat expectations is in the swing states that will decide
(Excerpt) Read more at online.wsj.com ...
Last poll I saw in OH was a couple of points, and the one before that, Romney was ahead or tied. Either way, I don’t know what “swing state” they are looking at. FL had a tie or 1 point lead for either.
Women,
The Negro Church Van Votes
The Ute Vote
The Jewish Vote
The Green Vote
and Fraud.
In the Walker Recall, Madison, Wisconsin turned out 119% of registered voters. In the big electoral vote states, 51% for the Mombasa MF ain't no trick at all.
Obama has many advantages that he did not have in 2008. He is the incumbent. He has doled out billions in porkulus cash. He has bestowed payments on various constituent groups. He has spent his entire time in office currying favor to his base - while expanding that base through fraud.
And Obama’s opponent is a weakling with little conservative support - who won’t have the benefit of picking Sarah Palin as his Veep.
At best, Romney will win in a nail-biter - which means he will lose, through fraud.
The race hasn’t started yet—We have yet to see the conventions and the debates. The VP pick for Mitt etc. I still say Obama will not run...that’s my guess. The next president will be Hillary Clinton.
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