How about NC, they went Obama last time, should go back to the GOP.
The Huffington Post still has it in the toss-up category, JFYI.
Disclosure: I was an early supporter of Rick Santorum and a reluctant Romney voter only because I live in a toss-up state. My interest in this thread is not in promoting his candidacy, but in using my professional and numerical analytical skills to show just how far we have declined as a country.
As I've said before, if this country had the degree of sanity left now which we did a generation ago, Obama would be a laughing stock on the order of Lyndon LaRouche, Romney would be the Democrat nominee and a solid conservative would be the GOP nominee. That not being the case, I will still vote for a JFK style Democrat any time over a naked Marxist.