The Clintonites who defected to the Obama camp surely have a clock going off in their heads - like a quarterback who knows when he’s been in the pocket too long.
If O is still behind in the polls, when this clock runs down (maybe September?), his campaign workers are going to abandon ship, and try to find another seat at the government trough, in congressional and senate campaigns.
Obama shows loyalty to no-one...and the reverse will be true also.
For these reasons, I believe these early polls are starting to have value.
While it is by no means a sure thing, it will probably be her last chance. The irony will not be lost on her. If Obama wins again, she will have a strong headwind running against eight years of Obama fatigue, even if she steps down as SOS to insulate herself a little from that fatigue.
If Romney wins and governs like Bush I, as most expect that he will, she will be running with the wind at her back.
There is a reason Bill keeps giving gifts of gaffes. Bill was a great liar when he was president and superb in twisting meanings of words, but I never recall him as being gaffe prone. Does anyone?