How many times have you been wrong? I was. I totally blew 2006, and was off in 2008, though not by as much. But I was pretty much on in 2010 again.
But if the prophecy is that "there will never be another free election in this country if EITHER Obama or Romney wins," sorry, you lost me on that.
It doesn’t much require enormous skills of either clairvoyance or a doctoral degree in political history or punditry to forecast how an election tide will go. That wasn’t what I was talking about, anyhow.
The issue I have is the statement (which you termed a prophecy) about free elections. Some claimed that Zero wouldn’t allow either the 2010 midterms or 2012 elections to go through, which was a might silly. At no point did I ever claim that, nor am I making such a claim with future elections.
To clarify what you misunderstood my saying is this... if (heaven forbid) Willard is the nominee and defeats Zero this year, it is an exceptionally good chance that the GOP will lose the House in 2014 (I have yet to analyze the Senate, but the GOP probably would hold it in 2014 if they win it this year, if only because of the number of Dems swept in in 2008 will probably keep their seats, but not enough to dislodge a narrow GOP majority). It is almost a given that Willard will then go on to lose the Presidency in 2016 for reelection (and the Senate will fall to the Dems as well, giving them the same setup they had for 2009), quite possibly to either Hillary or Andrew Cuomo of NY (or maybe even Zero, if he wants a rematch).
I expect Willard will have not only so damaged the GOP brand during his 4 year stint to Nixonian/Hooverian proportions, along with the increasing problem we have with the demographic shift, that we may not have another GOP candidate capable of overcoming those dual problems for a long time after (and by then, who knows how far to the left they’ll have to run, that it will no longer matter).
If I were Ed Schultz, I would be hoping and praying for a Willard Presidency to deliver the Democrats a perpetual majority party again.
Now, if the reverse happens, Zero wins reelection this year (and the GOP will probably win the Senate anyway, even with that dynamic), the GOP will continue its dominance for at least 3 more cycles and could jump to an LBJ-esque majority by 2014/16 in the Senate (over 60 seats). If an actual Conservative is nominated in 2016 (Walker, Palin, Pence of IN, completing his first term as Governor), they will likely win over any Democrat having to run on Zero’s dreadful 8 years of failure (quite possibly, it will be Biden, although again, more likely Hillary or Cuomo or some other surprise Democrat).
I’ll say here and now that aside from winning the Congress, unless things change in Tampa, the Presidency has already been pissed away and that the above scenario is likely with Willard. It should never have been allowed to happen.