That was an utterly stupid and worthless reply. You made a claim that you cannot possibly know to be true and I called you on your b.s.
You "called me on my b.s." Sure. Is that what they're calling "spewing idiocy" these days?
You're right - I don't *know* that a third party would win under the circumstances I've described. True enough. I also don't *know* the outcome to a lot of other events which are still over seven months away. Nobody does. Ergo, you're question was a stupid irrelevancy serving as an inadequate substitute for actual thought, designed to justify your own personal lack of courage.
At least I provided a framework argument for why a third party *could* have a better-than-fair chance of winning it all. You didn't even attempt to provide reasons why it couldn't. Throwing your diaper at me doesn't count, btw.