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Seven Ways 2012 Won’t Be Anything Like 2008 For Team Obama
The New Republic ^ | April 13, 2012 | 12:00 am | William Galston

Posted on 04/13/2012 9:45:20 AM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach

With the general election now underway, it’s tempting to assume that President Obama has a built-in advantage by having at his disposal a campaign operation that earned universal plaudits in 2008. But as Team Obama itself already knows—or, if not, will soon come to realize—the 2012 contest will be very different from the president’s triumphant march to the White House four years ago. The key question will be how the old campaign staff responds to the new electoral landscape. Here are seven realities that Team Obama will have to adjust to.

2012 will be a referendum, not a choice. One of the best established findings of contemporary political science is that in presidential contests involving an incumbent, the incumbent’s record is central to the public’s judgment. A race for an open Oval Office is about promises and personalities; a campaign for reelection is about the record and performance of the person currently occupying the White House. To be sure, Obama can offer his vision for the future and new proposals to flesh it out. But if the people don’t approve of his record, that won’t matter much.

No more promises of bipartisanship. Obama will have to abandon—or at least radically modify—the promise to heal a polarized political system that was at the heart of his rise to national prominence, starting with his dramatic address at the 2004 Democratic convention. And because his inability to foster this reconciliation has disappointed many people who voted for him in 2008, he’ll have to explain why he couldn’t do it in a way that redirects that disappointment toward the Republican Party and its nominee.

No more “Yes, we can.”

(Excerpt) Read more at tnr.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: election2012; obama; obama2012; onetermobama
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1 posted on 04/13/2012 9:45:33 AM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach
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H/T to Hot Air.


2 posted on 04/13/2012 9:47:02 AM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach (The Global Warming HOAX is about Global Governance)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Anybody on the fence who can’t decide between the two is brain dead...pull the plug!


3 posted on 04/13/2012 9:47:51 AM PDT by AngelesCrestHighway
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Mitt Romney = John McCain, so in a large sense, it IS 2008 all over again. Romney is going to get creamed. There will just be no motivation to get out and vote and make a choice between Obongo and Obongo Lite.


4 posted on 04/13/2012 9:48:36 AM PDT by AmericanInTokyo (Oh, well. SEE YOU IN THE CAMPS. (Hope your forearm tatoo doesnt hurt too much)....)
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To: AngelesCrestHighway
...can’t decide between the two...

I find little difference between Obama and Romney.

5 posted on 04/13/2012 9:49:44 AM PDT by GingisK
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To: GingisK

Ones muslim and ones mormon?


6 posted on 04/13/2012 9:55:36 AM PDT by goseminoles
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To: GingisK
" . . . . little difference"

Except that there will be a very strong "anyboby but Zero" sentiment for all but the hoodies and fellow travelers.

I'm still not convinced that Stevie is going to be there in November. November is a long way off and this guy is formenting race war - actively - from the White House. Let us all just ponder that for a moment.

7 posted on 04/13/2012 9:55:47 AM PDT by atc23 (The Confederacy was the single greatest conservative resistance to federal authority ever.)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
Actually, it will be much easer.

With McCain, whom I detest for his dalliances with the left, at least he was running against a marginal Republic.

That's not the case with the lying, left-wing, Progressive Liberal Mitt Romney.

With Mitt's left-wing record, most issues are off the table in debates and in campaigning because Mitt has a thoroughly left-wing record that Obama can use to rebut Romney's lying words about his conservatism.

On the following issues, Mitt was on the same side as Obama as Governor of MA and at other times:

1. Global Warming
2. Judicial Appointments
3. Abortion
4. Taxes
5. 2nd Amendment
6. ObamaCare
7. Illegal Immigration


There is not much left to debate or differentiate between the two.

Obama and the Media will be able to use Romney's record to absolutely destroy his candidacy and if God frowns on us and punishes us by giving us Romney as the candidate, his poll numbers, by the time the election rolls around, will be in the toilet.
8 posted on 04/13/2012 9:55:56 AM PDT by SoConPubbie
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Obama wouldn’t have won last time around, if McCain hadn’t put a muzzle on Sarah and handed Obama the election on a silver platter.

And the fact is, Mitt Romney is a hundred times WORSE than Juan McCain.

Once again, the GOP wants to give the White House away. It doesn’t matter how much Obama screws up, he can’t lose against Romney.


9 posted on 04/13/2012 9:56:05 AM PDT by Cicero (Marcus Tullius)
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To: AmericanInTokyo

Race riots, lynch mobs and rampaging hippies in the streets.

Those are your motivations to go and pull the lever for Romney.

It will actually play to his benefit to be the Whitest Man who ever ran for POTUS at that point.


10 posted on 04/13/2012 9:57:27 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: AngelesCrestHighway
Anybody on the fence who can’t decide between the two is brain dead...pull the plug!


11 posted on 04/13/2012 9:58:05 AM PDT by SoConPubbie
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To: AmericanInTokyo
Romney is going to get creamed

Do you really think Romney will do worse than McLame?

With $4 gas, 16% real unemployment, recurring $1.5 trillion deficits, and serious inflation in everyday items?

12 posted on 04/13/2012 9:59:14 AM PDT by nascarnation
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

btw, amazingly frank and honest assessment for a lefty rag like TNR


13 posted on 04/13/2012 10:01:02 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Come on. Does anybody really think that if Romney had been in the white house that last three years that we would be in the same mess we are now? There is no difference between Obama and Romney, NONE AT ALL? Some people are just getting way too carried away with the “I’m not voting for Romney, WAAA” stuff.


14 posted on 04/13/2012 10:02:34 AM PDT by 12chachacha
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To: 12chachacha

God help us, there really are Conservatives that believe that.


15 posted on 04/13/2012 10:07:13 AM PDT by Maverick68
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To: AmericanInTokyo
Mitt Romney = John McCain, so in a large sense, it IS 2008 all over again.

One huge difference, AIT. Obozo actually has a record to run on this time.

As poor as a contrast which Romney might offer, I can't see him nominating a racist extremist like Sotomayer to the supreme court, throwing Israel or any of our other allies under the bus, kissing a** with our sworn enemies, setting up gulags for conservatives or p*ssing away billions of dollars in Solyndra like green energy schemes to enrich his donors.

Like Ahrnold in California, he may be a RINO, but at least one with the sense to realize that a healthy private sector is necessary to generate the taxes to grown the nanny state efficiently.

16 posted on 04/13/2012 10:11:11 AM PDT by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: 12chachacha

Although 4 more years of The WOn is evidently palatable to some, it is not to me.

You can try to convince me that I am wrong, but I do not for a second believe that Mitt Romney hates America.


17 posted on 04/13/2012 10:11:49 AM PDT by SusaninOhio
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To: GingisK

Really?...I feel sorry for you


18 posted on 04/13/2012 10:12:01 AM PDT by AngelesCrestHighway
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To: GingisK

Really?...I feel sorry for you


19 posted on 04/13/2012 10:12:29 AM PDT by AngelesCrestHighway
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To: GingisK

Really?...I feel sorry for you


20 posted on 04/13/2012 10:12:29 AM PDT by AngelesCrestHighway
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