What makes you think Romney’s gonna lose the South ? In Obama’s first election the only Southern States he won were NC and Virginia. Why would all the other Southern States, who didnt vote Obama the first time, change their mind this time after they have seen 4 years of policies antithetical to pretty much every value they have ever had ? If anything, i was thinking it’s NC and Virginia that may not vote Obama this time around. As others have pointed out, having only a 51 % lead in MA is not that good for Obama at all. Generally, a president who leads nationally by 51 % is guaranteed to win reelection but if he’s leading Mass by 51 % , he cant possibly be leading the rest of the nation by 51 % too.
Because to win the South against Obama, you need white evangelicals and military to turn out for you and cancel out the black vote. McCain is a Christian and a war hero and still lost VA and NC. Romney is neither.