#1: not yet, although it may still happen -- but probably not on Obama's watch. The "treaty" pretty much makes that inevitable.
#2: Gas prices were high for a while, but are now low. Whether they stay low will depend on whether the Middle East keeps pumping oil at or below cost to run US producers out of business.
#3: Pretty much spot on.
#4: Ditto.
#5: "Occupy Wall Street" has died out, but has been replaced by "Black Lives Matter".
3 out of 5. Not bad!
Actually, if you include the original thesis, that Obama has a lock on the 2012 victory, that makes it 4 out of 6.