Posted on 04/03/2012 1:43:21 PM PDT by Fred
Mitt Romney’s slow but seemingly successful trudge to the GOP nomination aside, President Obama is a virtual lock to win a second term, according to a blockbuster election analysis by Ipsos. The bottom line, said Ipsos’ polling director Clifford Young: If Obama’s weak approval rating stays at 47 percent, there is an 85 percent chance he wins reelection. Should it rise to 50 percent or better, which is the goal of the Obama-Biden campaign, he stands a 99 percent chance of winning.
“The Republican primaries are nothing more than an interesting side-show to an eventual Obama victory,” said Young, managing director of Ipsos Public Affairs’ U.S. polling. He tells Secrets: “Obama is the odds-on favorite barring some unforeseen random event. As such, we really should not be asking who will win the presidency but instead who will hold the House and Senate and will Obama be able to govern?”
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonexaminer.com ...
I thought Ipsos was something you gave to Greeks in order to make them throw up...
How does Ipsos explain the 2010 midterms?
If Romney is the nominee, he WILL lose to Obummer because the people realise he is the SAME crap so why switch horses now?
Yeah, and Dewey beat Truman, too. Oh, wait . . .
You mean that Romney is a Marxist radical who hates this country, would continue out of control spending, supports a a group of czars that are strangling this country thru regulation, would restrict US energy production, continue to divide this country along racial and ethnic lines, and compromise US security by giving the Russians what they want? If you think that Romney is essentially the same as Obama, you are ceritifiable.
Leftists aren’t embarrased to publicly display their stupidity or wear their pants around their knees.
Romney can win if you guys will quit beating on him...
Both support gun grabbers
Both support abortion
Both support the homosexual agenda
Both support big government
Both support government mandates
Both support man made global warming
Both support working with democrats
Both support the language of the left
Both support welfare
Yep, more alike than you apparently are willing to admit.
Anyone who says Romney is the same as Obama is definitely trying to demotivate the Republican base.
Romney is not half the man Gingrich is, but he is ten times the man Obama is.
I don’t remember too many republicans being all that fired-up when Bob Dole was the standard-bearer.
I can only think of a handful of polls that accurately reflect reality. Garbage In, Garbage Out.
I dont understand Ipsos’ logic here. The historical rule of thumb is that the incumbant must have at least 50% support going in to the final month or he is in big trouble. This is because undecideds almost always break against the incumbent.
“50% means 99% chance” doesn’t square with past experience.
there is no logic, all BS
BUT Odungo is worst than Carter
“Romney is not half the man Gingrich is, but he is ten times the man Obama is.”
He may be 10 times the man but the fact is that he has the same stances on the issues. ( socialized healthcare, planned parenthood, global warming, class warfare based tax system, forcing Catholic hospitals to violate their faith, appointing liberal judges, gay marriage...etc).
Listening to Hannity try to split the hairs between Romneycare and Obamacare was absolutely laughable and deeply saddening at the same time. Government overreach and tyranny are overreach and tyranny whether it comes from the nation’s capital or the state capitals.
Romney is proving himself to be someone who will say anything, and spend anything to get elected.
To put it simply, Romney is a turd that no one is excited to support. Being the “not Obama” candidate ( even though he really is) may be enough to win some RINO votes and endorsements, but isn’t going to excite the GOP base and the general electorate.
I hate to say it, but Romney will lose in a Carteresque fashion. The GOP-E is forcing another Dole/McCain down the throats of the party. We know how that story ends.
Listen you wanta be a Romneybot, be my guest.
Those of us who oppose Romney do so because we are sick and tired of democrat lite candidates.
I will no longer vote for the lesser of two democrat liberal socialist candidates.
If true, we can kiss the economy good-bye.
Five more years of Obama will see Americans lining up around the block for their allotment of toilet paper and cardboard shoes.
LOL close enough to not be a coincident
The list you provided is nonsense.
But as I see it, it comes down to:
1) The media are solidly behind Obama and aren't going to report anything that hurts his candidacy.
2) Republicans don't have a good candidate -- or even just a widely agreed-on candidate.
They're not saying Obama will win big, though. They're saying it's very likely he will win. Those aren't always the same thing.
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