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To: 21twelve
A friend of a friend said to send him $500 and he would buy 500 tickets for me.

The fallacy here is that, if you buy 500 tickets and I buy 1 ticket, you have a 500 times better chance of winning than I do. But that's not the way it works. Your chance of winning is 1 in 175,000,000. 500 chances in 175,000,000 is statistically an insignificant difference from 1 in 175,000,000.

Put five bucks down and save the other $495.

24 posted on 03/28/2012 4:58:53 AM PDT by THX 1138 ("Harry, I have a gift.")
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To: THX 1138

The difference may be statistically insignificant—but the difference is still there. The odds are 500 times greater than if you bought just one ticket.


26 posted on 03/28/2012 5:12:13 AM PDT by ShadowAce (Linux -- The Ultimate Windows Service Pack)
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