Newt and the remainder of Orleans Parish will prevent Santorum from getting 50%+.
It still might be close—150 of 366 in from Orleans. Santorum is getting killed there (only about 25% of the vote) but there are less than 3200 votes total between the 150 precincts.
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Orleans is the only place Romney is winning in the state right now. Only about 5,000 total votes will come out of here. I think there’s enough outstanding in the rest of the state for Santorum to stay above 50%
South La has a heavy Catholic pop. Santa might just squeek out a 51% win.