Use of the poll is not a predictor, but an indicator, along with historical trends in voting and sociology. Romney is more likely to track McCain, and Santorum Huckabee. McCain won Texas four years ago. That bodes well for Romney. However, there are two big ifs: whether Gingrich stays in the race for an additional two months if he slips into irrelevance and if Santorum can keep up his wins in the South and Plains states. In a Southern state, Gingrich voters are more likely to break toward Santorum. Also, Paul,who will not go quietly into the night, tends to draw some of Romney’s support, specifically economic conservatives who are also social liberals.