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......."More than a dozen states hold primaries between now and the Texas contest, so it is not clear how competitive the campaign will actually be. But unless Romney’s opponents pull out before late May, Texas will probably get more attention from the Republican candidates than it has received since the state began using primaries as part of the delegate selection process.

That first happened in 1976, a year of fierce competition between President Gerald Ford and former Gov. Ronald Reagan of California. Ford was the preferred candidate of the Republican establishment here, and he had piled up far more delegates than Reagan by the time of the May 1 primary.

But Reagan’s message of limited government and a more robust national defense struck a chord among voters, and he won Texas in a landslide, picking up every delegate."......

May 29th, TX GOP Primary - 155 delegates.

1 posted on 03/23/2012 4:41:08 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife; All

Steve Munisteri, the state Republican Party chairman, said high turnout could also help Republicans expand its voter outreach ahead of November. A contested race could also leave bitterness and division behind, but Munisteri said that is the nature of politics. “I’ll take a risk of divisiveness in return for having people get more activated,” he said.

Easy for him to say...He’s in bed with Romney...

Needless to say I’m not impressed one damn bit about the outcome of this election cycles schedule...It effecctively took Texas clearly out of any serious impact on this primary process...Sure soemone is going to get a hefty sum of delegates from Texas, but it’ll mainly be the crowd that has to get behind the potential nomminee mentality that will drive this process into doomsville...

Not only will Texas voters have to deal with the nonsense from the lefts usful idiots putting all the redistricting to court scrutiny, but the establishment republicans went along with it because they know Texas is the crown jewel of GOP delegate support for the GOP nomminee, and we know where their moderate position is on the candidate they want to take on the challenge of defeating Obama...

The only question I’m going to be asking from now on is basically, “When Romney loses to Obama in November...How much conservative credibility will the GOP have Nationally and locally from then on out???”

I’m placing my bet on “nil”...


2 posted on 03/23/2012 5:13:41 AM PDT by stevie_d_64 (I'm jus' sayin')
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

I hope this is true, because I have so wanted to put a Newt sign in my yard, but was afraid it was going to be a moot point by May 29.


3 posted on 03/23/2012 5:26:39 AM PDT by mtrott
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Unfortunately TX is proportional this time out rather than Winner Take All, loophole, or bonus.


4 posted on 03/23/2012 5:27:34 AM PDT by scrabblehack
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
The lastest Rasmussen polling:

Mitt Romney 32%

Rick Santorum 30%

Newt Gingrich 19%

Ron Paul 9%

Other 3%

Undecided 7%

If the choices were only Romney versus Santorum:

Rick Santorum 45%

Mitt Romney 43%

In 2008, McCain won 51% of the vote to Huckabee's 38% and Paul's 5%. Huckabee did best in east and northeast Texas, the counties closest to Arkansas, as well as in rural North and West Texas counties. McCain carried all urban areas, even very conservative West Texas cities like Lubbock, Amarillo, Midland, and Odessa.

Assuming Gingrich drops out by May, you will not have a Westerner vs. a Southerner (Texas has a foot in both camps), but two Yankees. My bet is that the more socially conservative of the two, Santorum, will win the race. Santorum has run an effective campaign with resources far more limited than Romney. His per vote cost is one-fourth of Romney's. The Ron Paul factor cannot be discounted in his home state of Texas. Four years ago, he reached double digits in the Coastal Bend area and metro Austin. It is not unreasonable to assume he will reach the low teens statewide and even carry Travis County. This will hurt Romney, as at least some Paul supporters would otherwise default to Romney.

Unless Santorum implodes and if Gingrich drops out, Santorum will carry the Lone Star State.

5 posted on 03/23/2012 5:58:06 AM PDT by Wallace T.
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For what it's worth:

Tuesday 29 May 2012: 152 of Texas's 155 delegates to the Republican National
Convention are bound to presidential contenders in today's Texas Presidential Primary.
[General Rules for All Conventions and Meetings. Rule 38. Section 8. f.]

From the statewide vote, compute the number of delegates each candidate receives by
multiplying that candidate's percentage of the statewide vote by the total number (152) of
district and at-large delegates.


6 posted on 03/23/2012 5:58:13 AM PDT by deport (..............God Bless Texas............)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Newt is the only Reaganite figure in this race.

There’s no perfect such figure in existence (shock, even Reagan wasn’t always Reaganite), however, before the gang arrives to attack.

Most certainly Santorum is not.

If no Santorum, then Newt would sweep Texas as Reagan did.

Romney will do better than makes any sense, just as he has in the South generally, but he should lose it.

The only reason he will appear to do even better than he should do is because Santorum, Newt and Paul will split the anti-Romney vote 3 ways.

I will proudly cast my vote for Newt.

Could he, should he win Texas? Yes, but my guess is he won’t, and it’s because of Santorum and the religious vote. There’s nothing unique about this...but for Santorum Newt would sweep the south and southern border states, period.

But for Santorum, Newt would be the nominee, not Romney.

Newt himself is looking ahead to the convention and to the unbound delegates, and to trying by the convention rules to be placed in nomination so he can address the convention and have standing there.

We shall see about that. But that is his focus...stopping Romney from getting the magic number, taking the fight to Obama, articulating and highlighting OUR issues, and ever battling the news media, which he does so well.

Godspeed, Newt.


8 posted on 03/23/2012 6:04:08 AM PDT by txrangerette ("HOLD TO THE TRUTH...SPEAK WITHOUT FEAR" - Glenn Beck)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

I am voting for Newt in the Texas primary come hell or high water. And we have had a lot of rain out here in ETX recently.

I know he probably wont make it to the nomination...but I will at least be able to make my statement with my vote.


11 posted on 03/23/2012 6:45:06 AM PDT by Dudoight
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

The cancer of Obama”care” now extends to choosing a “Public health expert for the World Bank Presidency.”
_______

The major problem with THE NINE SUPREMES is that they are chosen for political reasons by the POTUS, and then they vote as an un-accountable democracy, for a Nation that is NOT a Democracy, but a REPUBLIC.

As a result, THE NINE SUPREMES commonly vote 5 to 4 on most issues. Constitutionality is seldom a consideration, and their up-coming ruling on Obama”care” will prove my point.

Now is the time to stand and deliver to address our grievances to the dictates of the Left.

Oppose the dictates of Dictator Baby-Doc Barack!

Our ONLY chance to ABOLISH Obama”care” rests with THE NINE SUPREMES, because Romney will be defeated by Obama.

IMHO, if Romney is anointed as the RNC Nominee, THE main issue in the National Election, Obama”care,” will be taken off the campaign table. Hence, Romney will not only lose, but suffer another crushing, and sadly typical, RINO defeat.

To those who want poster ideas, here are a few ideas for demonstration posters:

Obama”care” was robo-signed by Congress, and is therefore illegal.

Obama”care” was 2700 pages long, and is still being written, but not by Congress: witness the forced contraception coverage recently added by HHS Regulators.

Obama”care” has caused “The Catholic Spring.”

Obama”care” reduces competition, and therefore is illegal by the 1890 Sherman Anti-Trust Law.

Obama”care” is designed to be a US Federal Government monopoly, with no competition.

Obama”care” also is illegal according to the US Constitution, because it violates our freedom of choice.

Will THE NINE SUPREMES notice any of these three violations? I seriously doubt it.

Impeached Bill Clinton proved that the US President is above US Federal Law, so anything that the President wants he gets, regardless of the Federal Laws that he has violated.


15 posted on 03/23/2012 8:14:06 AM PDT by Graewoulf (( obama"care" violates the 1890 Sherman Anti-Trust Law, AND is illegal by the U.S. Constitution.))
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