Magnitude 7.9 - GUERRERO, MEXICO [now estimated at 7.4]

USGS ^ | 03/20/12 | USGS

[winoneforthegipper]

Tuesday, March 20, 2012 at 18:02:53 UTC Tuesday, March 20, 2012 at 12:02:53 PM at epicenter

Location 17.041°N, 98.115°W Depth 10 km (6.2 miles) set by location program Region GUERRERO, MEXICO

[tnlibertarian]

Looks like it was pulled.

[dirtboy]

I think I even snipped one out:

Magnitude 7.2 NEAR THE SOUTH COAST OF PAPUA, INDONESIA September 29, 2010

[Carriage Hill]

Same here, but it was erased.

[winoneforthegipper]

Not sure what this quakes significance is but one thing for sure it rang the bell worldwide...been awhile since I have seen a S/wave perform like this one!

[Errant]

Yea, you're right. What's unusual is for at least four to occur exactly 188 days apart for at least the last four 188 day cycles (It may go back further - I haven't checked).

I'm not convinced, just saying it's interesting and that we'll soon have further evidence one way or another...

[Errant]

I wanted to ask you about the S/wave it generated. Seems those are being produced a lot lately? Might be a significant development??

[winoneforthegipper]

Well I think this...

Certainly the S/waves as recorded across the world to me are the most interesting facet to webicorder shown depictions of earthquakes. If you go back to one of the graphs we saw a few years ago, where there was a certain void of any large quake during the 50’s 60’s and 70’s you can easily a sense or even a theory that it is a trigger mechanism tectonically.

Now more interesting is how these S/waves have been recorded lately.

Certainly one thing can be said if the above is true this puppy could indeed light a fire or two on faults well away from it's origin.

[Dudoight]

Thanks...I wonder why? It was interesting if questionable.

[Admin Moderator]

The website source provided in the text of the pulled post also has a ton of truther content.

Truthers have never been welcome on FR and are often usually indicative of bad science as well.

[dirtboy]

Make that for the past four cycles (which I checked manually)...

There were 21 7+ quakes in 2010 by my count (and admittedly I could be off one or two each way as I was editing for posting).

That's 84 days in a two-day window each way, or about a one in four chance (23 percent) that a given 188 day cycle will hit that window.

Make that over four cycles and you have one in sixteen.

[Errant]

Now more interesting is how these S/waves have been recorded lately.

Good point.

[dirtboy]

Not seeing any red dots on the did you feel it map in post 41, that is a hopeful sign for the folks down that way.

[dirtboy]

There are some loose correlations in 2009, and then it goes completely bust in 2008. I have the second 188 day cycle date in 2008 as 8/12/2008. Here is the historical activity on USGS, nothing for the entire month of August:

Magnitude 4.0 SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIFORNIA September 06, 2008
•Magnitude 5.5 GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALIFORNIA July 29, 2008
•Magnitude 6.8 EASTERN HONSHU, JAPAN July 23, 2008

[Dudoight]

I agree with you if they would stick to science and leave out the other stuff....it would be more palatable.

it was just somewhat amazing to read the quake prediction and WHAM, the one we had today! LOL!

Thanks for looking out for us...

[Errant]

Make that over four cycles and you have one in sixteen.

I'm not too sure that you're not right about the odds. For the sake of argument, lets use your 21 7+ count per year for 4, 188 day cycles.

21/365 = 0.057534 7+ earthquakes a day for 752 days (188 x 4 cycles).

That works out to a total of 43.2 7+ earthquakes during the entire 752 day period (752 x 0.057534).

The odds of a 7+ occurring on any one particular day during that period are 1 in 17.4 (752 / 43.2). Close to what you came up with.

But, (what I think forgot to include) the odds of a 7+ occurring on exactly 188 day intervals during the 752 day period are more like 1 in 139.2 (1/(17.4 x n))?

[Errant]

Thanks for checking. I want to go back further myself.

Keep in mind that this could be a relatively new phenomenon as what some think is the cause would elude to (an incoming heavy mass object).

Again, the next few days should offer more evidence.

[dirtboy]

Keep in mind that this could be a relatively new phenomenon as what some think is the cause would elude to (an incoming heavy mass object).

That is a nonsensical theory. We would see other observable effects from such an object on the other planets in the solar system.

Michelle Obama doing jumping jacks is a scary concept, but that ain't enough to shift the Earth's axis.

[Errant]

BTW, Below are the four recent 188 day interval earthquakes they point to, that line up with the upcoming 22 March prediction.

February 27, 2010 - 1.5 Million Displaced After Chile Quake

September 4, 2010 - New Zealand earthquake: state of emergency declared

March 11, 2011 - Japan Pushes to Rescue Survivors as Quake Toll Rises

September 15, 2011 - Planet convulses in spasm of major earthquakes in 14 hour period

[Errant]

LOL, All I can say is I don’t want to be underneath any overhead objects if Michelle is doing jumping jacks!

[Errant]

Oops,

1 in 139.2 (1/(17.4 x n)) = the exponent of n (which n=4 for the four periods discussed).

Somebody please correct me if I'm wrong! :)