Posted on 03/12/2012 10:34:47 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
IMHO if it ever reaches that point, NONE of the current 4 remaining candidates will be the one.
We will be STUCK w/ Jebby Bushie(PUKE)!!
In a divided convention, Santorum or perhaps Gingrich have a chance. In a brokered convention, it will be Romney, or if they panic, Jeb Bush. A brokered convention means that the GOP-E is calling all the shots.
I truly believe Jeb Bush in ‘12 would be the end of the GOP—which may not be such a bad thing.
Rick’s got bigger problems than this. A brokered convention isn’t going to help him.
As I said before, in a brokered convention, I don’t think ANY of the current remaining candidates will be chosen.
If you can’t decisively win in the primaries, you won’t be able to convince the convention that you are THE ONE.
I don’t think ANY of the current remaining candidates will be chosen.You might be right... anything can happen... but it's worth pointing out that in a brokered convention the delegates don't just gather up their toys and go home.
A brokered convention is brokered by the delegates.
The winner still has to win the delegate count.
What changes is that there is a series of votes and with each vote wherein no one gets the majority more and more delegates are "unbound".
So yes, a non-candidate could possibly win. But I think that's highly unlikely. If Gingrich, for example, arrived at the convention floor with 1000 highly-motivated, very-loyal delegates they wouldn't just quickly melt away and vote for Jeb Bush.
An effort would be made to build a coalition that would put someone over the magic number... just like in a parliamentary democracy.
Why do people keep suggesting California is WTA? It is WTA by CD, and there are at least 15 CD’s Santorum would easily win.
Also, memo to Texas. If you’re going late in the game anyway, why not move your primary to June 5 or June 19 where you can either offset CA/NJ or UT?
Well, it isn’t as if it hasn’t happened before, but I have to note, that is how America ended up with Chester Arthur as VP... and then POTUS.
Anyway, a brokered convention is just about a politically nitty gritty as you can get, it is real hard core in the trenches politicking. It would actually be fun to watch if it weren’t so damned vital to the nation. Makes it kind of hard to enjoy the battle as it were.
Sanatorium will not be the candidate from a brokered convention. Newt would be more likely, I think, but I wouldn’t bet on him, either.
>> IMHO if it ever reaches that point, NONE of the current 4 remaining candidates will be the one.
I suspect you’re right, for the POTUS slot, although one of the three remaining real candidates (not Paul) may end up on the ticket.
I doubt Jeb Bush has a snowball’s chance in hell of getting the nod. Who wants him?
a brokered convention puts Sarah in play and she knows it
In the Unlikely (IMHO) scenario of a brokered convention, who do you think will be chosen?
Who I’d like is Sarah Palin.
I’d settle for Newt.
you’ll get both
I learned this yesterday, when carefully reading Kkkkarl Rove's Feb WSJ Op-Ed, where he says the chance of a "brokered" convention is close to zero, but the chance of a contested convention is not.
A brokered convention would see a new candidate--someone other than Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney or Rick Santorum--enter the remaining primaries or parachute in during the convention (if no existing candidate has secured a majority of delegates). ...A contested convention, on the other hand, would see no dark horse enter but none of the existing candidates arrive in Tampa with a 1,144 majority of delegates. Lots of wheeling and dealing would ensue, and after several ballots a nominee would emerge from the four current candidates.
“who do you think will be chosen? “
I get this creepy feeling that Ron Paul might have a chance after watching the attempted stealth takeover at our GOP convention this weekend.
I can see Santorum asking his delegates to go for Romney, with the quid pro quo being Santorum be named VP nominee. I think this possibility is not unatttractive to Santorum, and that he probably has had it in mind for weeks, if not longer.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.